Shipston-on-Stour Crime Rate February 2024 | Monthly Statistics

The balance between property and violent crime in Shipston-on-Stour during February 2024 reveals a striking dominance of violent incidents over property-related offences. With a total crime rate of 2.9 per 1,000 residents, the area remains 59.2% below the UK average of 7.1. This stark contrast underscores a local profile where interpersonal conflicts and public safety concerns appear to take precedence over theft or burglary. Of the 17 reported crimes, 10 (58.8% of the total) were classified as violence and sexual offences, significantly exceeding the share of property crimes (3, or 17.7%). This imbalance may reflect the social dynamics of a small, close-knit community where disputes or alcohol-related incidents are more likely to manifest in violent forms. The seasonal context of February—a winter month marked by reduced outdoor activity and the pre-spring lull—could contribute to this pattern. While the UK average for violence and sexual offences is 2.5 per 1,000, Shipston-on-Stour’s rate of 1.7 per 1,000 is 32% lower, suggesting effective local policing or community cohesion. However, anti-social behaviour (3 incidents, 0.5 per 1,000) and other theft (2 incidents, 0.3 per 1,000) remain below UK averages by 52% and 45% respectively, indicating a generally low-risk environment for these categories. The low crime rates, particularly in property-related offences, may be attributable to the area’s character as a rural or semi-rural built-up area with limited commercial or high-traffic zones. This data invites further consideration of how local infrastructure, population density, and seasonal rhythms intersect to shape crime patterns in this part of Stratford-on-Avon.

February 2024 saw notable shifts in crime patterns within Shipston-on-Stour, with specific categories experiencing dramatic changes. Burglary, other theft, and other crime all increased by 100% compared to the previous month, rising from zero to one incident each. This spike, while statistically significant, remains isolated given the overall low volume of crimes. Conversely, anti-social behaviour fell by 50%, from six to three incidents, potentially reflecting seasonal or localised factors. The violent crime category, which accounted for 58.8% of total crimes, continued to be the dominant concern, with a rate of 1.7 per 1,000 residents—32% below the UK average of 2.5 per 1,000. This suggests that while violent crime is present, its frequency is lower than in most parts of the country. The property crime share (17.7% of total) remains comparatively minor, with burglary at 0.2 per 1,000 (33% below the UK average of 0.3 per 1,000) and other theft at 0.3 per 1,000 (45% below the UK average of 0.6 per 1,000). These figures highlight a community where property crime is not a major concern, possibly due to the area’s rural or semi-rural nature, which may limit opportunities for theft. Residents might find the 100% increase in burglary particularly noteworthy, as it represents a rare occurrence in an area with historically low property crime rates. This could signal a temporary vulnerability or the impact of external factors, though further data would be needed to confirm.

Comparing February 2024 to the previous month, Shipston-on-Stour experienced a 15.0% decline in its overall crime rate, dropping from 3.4 per 1,000 to 2.9 per 1,000. This downward trend aligns with the typical seasonal lull in winter months, where reduced outdoor activity and shorter daylight hours may limit opportunities for crime. On a daily basis, the area recorded roughly one crime per day in February, a figure that, while low, reflects the sparse distribution of incidents in a small community. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 346 residents, a monthly exposure rate that is exceptionally low compared to national averages. Given the area’s population of 5,884, this statistic illustrates the rarity of crime in Shipston-on-Stour, even when accounting for the 17 incidents recorded. The comparison to the UK average is even more pronounced when considering the breakdown of specific crime types. For example, the rate of anti-social behaviour (0.5 per 1,000) is 52% below the UK average of 1.1 per 1,000, suggesting that local initiatives or community engagement may play a role in mitigating such incidents. However, the slight increase in 'other crime' (0.2 per 1,000, 43% above the UK average of 0.1 per 1,000) highlights a potential anomaly that deserves closer attention. For residents, these figures reinforce the perception of Shipston-on-Stour as a relatively safe area, though the 100% rise in burglary underscores the need for continued vigilance, particularly in securing homes during periods of low activity.