Shipston-on-Stour Crime Rate October 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Shipston-on-Stour's crime rate of 4.4 per 1,000 residents in October 2024 places it 45.7% below the UK average of 8.1, a marked divergence from national trends. This small built-up area within Stratford-on-Avon shows a crime profile shaped by local demographics and seasonal rhythms. Violence and sexual offences dominate the crime picture, accounting for 57.7% of all reported incidents, followed by criminal damage and arson (11.5%) and vehicle crime (7.7%). These figures suggest a pattern consistent with a low-density residential area where interpersonal disputes and minor property crimes are more prevalent than large-scale theft or organised crime. October's transition to darker evenings and the proximity of Halloween may partly explain the spike in violence and sexual offences. The area's relatively low crime rate compared to the UK average could reflect its compact size, strong community cohesion, and limited commercial activity outside the town centre, all factors that may reduce opportunities for certain types of crime. Violent crime rates in Shipston-on-Stour are 3% below the UK average for this category, a small but statistically significant difference that may indicate effective local policing or community engagement efforts. The absence of major retail hubs or nightlife venues likely contributes to the lower incidence of shoplifting and theft from the person compared to larger urban centres.

October 2024 saw notable shifts in crime patterns across Shipston-on-Stour. Shoplifting increased by 100% compared to September, with one incident reported following a month with none. This uptick may coincide with Halloween preparations, though the small sample size limits definitive conclusions. Vehicle crime also doubled from zero to two incidents, potentially linked to increased traffic during the holiday season or seasonal changes in vehicle usage. Conversely, public order offences fell by 75%, from four to one, a decrease that may reflect the town's generally orderly environment or the impact of local initiatives targeting anti-social behaviour. Burglary dropped by two-thirds, from three to one, suggesting either improved home security measures or a reduction in opportunistic crimes during the month. Anti-social behaviour also fell by two-thirds, from six to two, aligning with the broader trend of reduced public order incidents. These fluctuations highlight the dynamic nature of local crime, with some categories showing marked responsiveness to seasonal and environmental factors. The town's overall violent crime rate remains 3% below the UK average, a consistent performance that may be attributable to its low population density and limited exposure to high-risk environments. However, the rise in shoplifting and vehicle crime underscores the need for continued vigilance in specific areas of the town.

Shipston-on-Stour's crime rate of 4.4 per 1,000 residents in October 2024 represents a 7.1% decrease from the previous month's rate of 4.8, indicating a slight but sustained improvement in local safety. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately one crime per day over the 31-day period, a figure that may appear low but reflects the small population of 5,884 residents. When scaled to the local population, this translates to one reported crime for every 226 residents over the course of the month, a ratio that is lower than many comparable areas. The town's performance against the UK average reveals striking disparities: violent crime rates are 3% below the national benchmark, while anti-social behaviour rates are 77% lower than the UK average. These figures suggest that Shipston-on-Stour's unique characteristics—its compact size, limited commercial activity, and likely strong community ties—contribute to its relatively low crime profile. However, the town's performance in specific categories, such as vehicle crime (36% below UK average) and shoplifting (72% below), highlights areas where local conditions may be particularly effective in deterring certain types of crime. The population-scaled perspective also reveals that residents face a lower monthly risk of encountering crime compared to the national average, though the absolute numbers remain small enough that even minor fluctuations can have a noticeable impact on local perceptions of safety.