Stratford-upon-Avon Crime Rate January 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Stratford-upon-Avon's crime rate in January 2025 stood at 8.2 per 1,000 residents, placing it 15.5% above the UK average of 7.1. This position reflects a combination of local factors and broader national trends. The area's crime profile is dominated by violence and sexual offences (34.5% of all incidents), anti-social behaviour (23.1%), and shoplifting (9.2%). These patterns align with the town's character as a historic market town with a significant tourism industry, where retail spaces and public areas attract both residents and visitors. The prominence of violent crime may be influenced by the seasonal context of January, a month typically marked by reduced outdoor activity and shorter daylight hours, which could contribute to increased indoor conflicts. Anti-social behaviour's elevated rate (94% above UK average) may be exacerbated by the concentration of residential properties in a compact built-up area, where noise and nuisance complaints are more likely to be reported. Shoplifting, at 29% above the UK average, could be linked to the presence of high-street retail stores catering to both local and tourist populations. The data also reveals a mixed picture for property crimes: while vehicle crime rose sharply (46% above UK average), burglary and criminal damage remained near or slightly below national levels. This contrast may reflect the town's smaller scale and the limited number of high-value vehicles or commercial properties compared to larger urban centres. Seasonal factors, such as post-holiday economic pressures and reduced foot traffic in retail sectors, may have contributed to the observed shifts in crime patterns, though these connections remain speculative without further data.

January 2025 saw sharp increases in vehicle crime (+125%) and burglary (+100%), with the latter doubling from 5 to 10 incidents. These spikes may partly reflect post-holiday vehicle theft patterns and increased residential activity during colder weather. Conversely, theft from the person fell by 80% (from 5 to 1), potentially linked to reduced foot traffic in tourist areas during the post-Christmas lull. Anti-social behaviour remained the most significant local outlier, at 94% above the UK average (1.9 vs 1.0 per 1,000). This category's prominence may be influenced by the town's historic character and the concentration of residents in a compact built-up area, where noise and nuisance complaints are more likely to be reported. Violent crime (34.5% of total incidents) exceeded the UK average by 12%, a figure that could align with seasonal fluctuations in public gatherings and the presence of transient populations during off-peak tourism periods.

Stratford-upon-Avon's crime rate in January 2025 (8.2 per 1,000 residents) marks a 12.9% increase from the previous month's rate of 7.2 per 1,000. This rise, though modest in absolute terms, reflects a shift in local crime dynamics. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 8 crimes per day over the 31-day period—a figure that, while low compared to larger urban centres, underscores the need for vigilance in a town with significant tourism and retail activity. The monthly exposure metric reveals that over the course of January, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 123 residents. This rate, though higher than the UK average, is not statistically extreme when considering Stratford's population size and the seasonal context of January, which typically sees reduced footfall in retail and hospitality sectors. The town's compact built-up area may amplify the visibility of crime, making even modest increases more pronounced in public perception.