Wellesbourne Crime Rate July 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Wellesbourne’s crime profile in July 2023 reveals a clear dominance of property crimes over violent offences, with 15 property-related incidents compared to 7 violent crimes. This 2:1 ratio may reflect the area’s character as a small, low-density built-up zone within Stratford-on-Avon, where commercial and residential spaces coexist but lack the high-density urban features typically associated with higher violent crime rates. The overall crime rate of 3.6 per 1,000 residents places Wellesbourne 56.6% below the UK average of 8.3 per 1,000, a disparity consistent with the area’s relatively low population and limited nightlife or retail concentration. Seasonal factors may further explain this pattern: July, a peak summer month with schools out and tourism at its height, likely shifts activity toward outdoor spaces and commercial areas, contributing to property crimes such as vehicle crime and burglary. However, the absence of a major spike in violent crime—despite the influx of visitors—suggests that Wellesbourne’s social fabric and policing presence may mitigate conflict in public spaces. The top crime categories, violence and sexual offences (23.3%), vehicle crime (16.7%), and burglary (10.0%), align with the area’s mix of residential and small-scale commercial premises, though the low frequency of these incidents underscores the effectiveness of local crime prevention measures.

July 2023 saw a 200% increase in both burglary and criminal damage and arson, rising from 1 to 3 incidents each. This surge, though still low in absolute terms, may be linked to seasonal factors such as increased outdoor events or festivals, which could create temporary vulnerabilities in property security. Conversely, violent crime fell by 46.2% compared to June, with violence and sexual offences dropping from 13 to 7. This decline aligns with the UK-wide trend of lower violent crime during summer months, due to increased community activity and visibility in public spaces. Vehicle crime in Wellesbourne (0.6 per 1,000) is 25% above the UK average (0.5 per 1,000), a deviation that could reflect the area’s proximity to Stratford-on-Avon’s transport networks or the presence of tourist-related vehicle traffic. Meanwhile, anti-social behaviour fell sharply by 85.7%, from 7 to 1, a reduction that may be attributed to local initiatives or heightened community engagement during the summer season. Residents may find the 71% below UK average for violent crime (0.8 per 1,000 vs. 2.8 per 1,000) particularly reassuring, suggesting that Wellesbourne’s social environment remains relatively stable even during peak tourist periods.

Wellesbourne’s crime rate in July 2023 (3.6 per 1,000) represents a 16.6% decrease from the previous month’s rate of 4.3 per 1,000, reflecting a continued downward trend in local crime. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 1 crime per day over the 31-day period, a figure that, while seemingly low, contextualises the monthly exposure as 1 reported crime for every 277 residents. This monthly ratio highlights the area’s relatively safe environment, especially when contrasted with the UK average of 8.3 per 1,000. The population context is critical: with 8,321 residents, Wellesbourne’s small size means that even minor fluctuations in crime rates can have noticeable impacts on community perception. For instance, the 200% increase in burglary and criminal damage and arson, though statistically significant, translates to only 3 incidents across the entire population—a figure that may be less alarming to residents than it would be in a larger, more densely populated area. The comparison also underscores the area’s performance relative to the UK: while vehicle crime is 25% above the national average, other categories such as anti-social behaviour and drugs are well below UK levels, indicating a mix of local factors that may include effective policing, community cohesion, or geographic isolation from high-crime urban centres.