Wellesbourne Crime Rate May 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Wellesbourne, a built-up area within Stratford-on-Avon, maintained a crime rate of 2.3 per 1,000 residents in May 2023, placing it 71.2% below the UK average of 8.0 per 1,000. This rate reflects a consistently low-crime environment, typical of smaller rural or semi-rural communities where social cohesion and limited urban density contribute to reduced criminal activity. The most prevalent crime categories were violence and sexual offences (26.3% of total crimes), followed by anti-social behaviour and criminal damage and arson (each 15.8%). These patterns align with the area's character, where community policing efforts and lower population density may naturally suppress certain types of crime. Seasonal factors in May—such as extended evenings, bank holidays, and increased outdoor socialising—could influence patterns of anti-social behaviour and public order offences, though the overall crime rate remains well below national benchmarks. The low level of vehicle crime (0.1 per 1,000) and drug-related offences (0.1 per 1,000) further suggest a community where economic opportunities and local amenities may reduce incentives for more serious or opportunistic crimes. While direct causal links, the area's historical stability and limited exposure to urban crime drivers likely contribute to its consistently low crime profile.

The most dramatic shift in May 2023 was a 200% increase in criminal damage and arson, rising from 1 to 3 incidents. This jump, though still below the UK average of 0.6 per 1,000, highlights a potential seasonal influence: longer evenings and increased outdoor socialising in May may have created conditions for vandalism or arson linked to public gatherings. Conversely, vehicle crime fell by 50% (from 2 to 1), suggesting either improved security measures or reduced opportunities in a low-density area. Anti-social behaviour and public order offences also rose, with the latter doubling to 2 incidents. These increases, while modest in absolute terms, may reflect the impact of bank holidays and local events typical of the area. Wellesbourne's violent crime rate (0.6 per 1,000) is 78% below the UK average for this category, reinforcing the area's safety profile despite the month-on-month fluctuations. Residents may find the 70% below-average rate for public order offences particularly reassuring, as this category often correlates with nightlife density or urban congestion—neither of which are prominent in Wellesbourne.

Wellesbourne's crime rate in May 2023 (2.3 per 1,000) marked a 26.7% increase from April's 1.8 per 1,000, though it remains significantly below the UK average. Over the 31 days of May, this translated to roughly one crime per day, a frequency that would mean a resident had a 1-in-438 chance of being directly affected by a reported crime during the month. This monthly exposure rate contextualises the low-level nature of crime in the area, where even with the rise in certain categories, the overall impact on residents remains minimal. The population-scaled perspective is particularly telling: with 8,321 residents, the 19 reported crimes represent less than 0.2% of the population, a stark contrast to larger urban centres where crime rates often exceed 10 per 1,000. While the increase from April may raise questions, the absence of major spikes in property crime or violent offences suggests the changes are isolated to specific categories. The daily crime context also underscores that Wellesbourne's safety profile is not compromised by the month-on-month fluctuations, as the rate remains comfortably within the range of a low-crime rural or semi-rural environment.