Dursley Crime Rate July 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Dursley’s crime profile in July 2023 reveals an unusual juxtaposition of trends: while overall crime rates remained 10.8% below the UK average at 7.4 per 1,000 residents, specific categories like shoplifting and bicycle theft surged far above national benchmarks. The area’s crime profile was dominated by violence and sexual offences (36.4% of total crimes), followed by anti-social behaviour (12.7%) and shoplifting (12.7%). This balance contrasts with the UK average, where violence and sexual offences make up a smaller share of total crimes. The seasonal context of July—peak summer, school holidays, and tourism—likely influenced these patterns. For instance, the 50% increase in shoplifting compared to the UK average may reflect higher foot traffic in retail areas during the summer months. Conversely, the 37% reduction in anti-social behaviour compared to the UK average could align with the dispersal of transient populations during school breaks. Bicycle theft in Dursley was 200% above the UK average, a figure that may reflect local factors such as cycling infrastructure or community activity patterns. These findings underscore the need to consider both seasonal rhythms and area-specific characteristics when interpreting crime data, rather than relying on broad national comparisons.

July 2023 saw a 250% increase in shoplifting, rising from 2 to 7 incidents—a sharp jump that outpaced other categories. Bicycle theft also doubled, moving from 0 to 2 reports, while possession of weapons rose from 0 to 2. These increases contrast with declines in violence and sexual offences (-33.3%), anti-social behaviour (-36.4%), and public order offences (-33.3%). The crime mix shifted significantly, with property crimes (20 incidents) and violent crimes (20 incidents) each accounting for 36.4% of total crimes—a balance not seen in the previous month. Shoplifting in Dursley was 50% above the UK average, while bicycle theft was 200% above. For residents, the sharp rise in shoplifting may signal heightened activity in retail areas, though no direct links to specific factors like festivals or tourism can be confirmed.

Dursley's crime rate in July 2023 fell to 7.4 per 1,000 residents, a 19.1% decline from the previous month's 9.1 per 1,000. This reduction aligns with typical seasonal patterns, as summer holidays and school breaks may reduce opportunities for certain crimes. Locally, 55 crimes were reported over 31 days, averaging 2 incidents daily—a figure that translates to 1 reported crime for every 136 residents over the course of the month. When scaled to the area’s population of 7,453, this suggests a relatively low level of exposure to crime compared to larger urban centres. The shift in crime mix also stands out: violent crimes and property crimes each accounted for 36.4% of total incidents, a balance that contrasts with the previous month’s higher prevalence of anti-social behaviour. This suggests a potential reallocation of police resources or changes in community activity patterns during July without further analysis.