Warlingham Crime Rate October 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Warlingham's October 2023 crime rate of 4.9 per 1,000 residents marked a notable anomaly: robbery cases doubled from zero to two, an unexpected surge that defied broader trends. This sharp increase in robbery—a crime type 100% above the UK average—stood in stark contrast to the area's otherwise low crime profile. The overall rate remained 38.7% below the national average, a position reinforced by significant underperformance in violent crime categories. Violence and sexual offences, for instance, were 74% below the UK average (2.7 per 1,000), while public order offences were 66% below (0.6 per 1,000). These figures align with Warlingham's character as a low-density, semi-rural built-up area where community cohesion and limited nightlife may suppress violent crime. However, the anti-social behaviour spike—accounting for 42.5% of all crimes—suggests localized tensions. This category, at 2.1 per 1,000, was 64% above the UK average, potentially linked to seasonal factors like darker evenings and Halloween. The area's crime mix also shifted: property crimes (14) now outnumbered violent crimes (6), a reversal that may reflect increased vehicle crime (0.6 per 1,000, 15% above UK average) and the impact of October's shorter daylight hours on outdoor activity. While the overall rate rose slightly from 4.5 per 1,000 in September, this remained a minor fluctuation in an area consistently below national averages, illustrating the combination of local conditions and broader demographic patterns.

October 2023 saw a stark doubling of robbery cases in Warlingham, jumping from 0 to 2—a 100% increase. This unexpected rise contrasts with broader trends, as robbery remains 100% above the UK average (0.1 per 1,000). Meanwhile, criminal damage and arson dropped by 66.7% (from 3 to 1), a decline that may reflect seasonal factors such as shorter evenings curbing vandalism opportunities. Anti-social behaviour, the most common crime, is 64% above the UK average (1.3 per 1,000), highlighting a localised issue that contributes to the area's 42.5% share of total crimes. The balance of crime types also shifted: property crimes (14) now outnumber violent crimes (6), a reversal from earlier in the year. This shift may partly explain the 7.9% month-on-month rise in overall crime, as property-related offences dominate the increase.

Warlingham's crime rate in October 2023 rose slightly to 4.9 per 1,000 residents, a 7.9% increase from the previous month's 4.5 per 1,000. This small upward trend contrasts with the area's overall position as one of the UK's safest places, remaining 38.7% below the national average. On a daily basis, the area experienced roughly one reported crime per day over October, a figure that translates to a monthly exposure of one crime for every 204 residents. This low frequency underscores the area's generally secure environment. month-on-month rise suggests localized factors may have temporarily influenced crime patterns. The population context further highlights the rarity of crime here: with 8,172 residents, the 40 reported crimes represent a minimal proportion of the population, reinforcing the area's status as a low-crime community despite the recent increase.