The predicted future trend of crime rates in Mistley, Tendring, is unfortunately one of increase. As of the most recent data, Mistley (classified as a Built-Up Area or BUA) has a population of 1511 residents. The current crime rate stands at 74.1 incidents per 1,000 people, which is lower than the UK average of 91.6 per 1,000. However, the concerning factor is the trend – crime rates have been increasing by 14.3% year-on-year.
This upward trend suggests a potential acceleration in criminal activity within the area. While Mistley currently boasts a safety score of 81 out of 100, which is above the UK average of 79, this score could be negatively impacted if the increasing crime rate continues unabated. It's important to note that a safety score is a composite measure and doesn’t necessarily reflect the types of crimes occurring, only the overall perception of safety.
Understanding the specific types of crimes contributing to this increase would provide a more granular view of the situation. However, without further data, it's difficult to determine the underlying causes – whether it's related to socioeconomic factors, changes in policing strategies, or other local influences. The fact that the increase is 14.3% year-on-year is a significant indicator that this is not a temporary fluctuation but a developing pattern. Residents should be aware of this trend and take appropriate precautions. It is advisable to monitor local news and community updates for any further information or guidance from law enforcement agencies regarding this rising crime rate.