Test Valley Crime Rate November 2025 | Monthly Statistics

A sharp 152.4% increase in burglary cases in November 2025 stands out as the most unexpected development in Test Valley’s crime profile. While the overall crime rate of 4.8 per 1,000 remains 34.2% below the UK average of 7.3, this surge in property crime contrasts with broader trends of declining violent and anti-social behaviour. Violence and sexual offences, the most common category (269 cases, 41.5% of total), remain 22% below the UK average, consistent with patterns seen in other low-crime local authority districts. The seasonal context of November—marked by Bonfire Night, Black Friday shopping, and extended darkness—may have created conditions that inadvertently facilitated burglary, though no direct causal link can be confirmed. Anti-social behaviour, at 0.5 per 1,000, is 53% below the UK average, suggesting effective community engagement or policing strategies in areas prone to such incidents. The dominance of violent crime over property crime (269 vs 226 cases) is notable, reflecting a balance typical of medium-sized towns where retail and residential areas intersect. This pattern aligns with Test Valley’s character as a mix of rural and suburban communities, where targeted interventions may have mitigated property crime while violent incidents persist due to social dynamics. The absence of significant increases in theft from the person or vehicle crime—both 50% below UK averages—further underscores the district’s relative safety, despite the burglary spike.

Burglary cases surged by 152.4% in November 2025, rising from 21 to 53, marking the most dramatic month-on-month increase in the dataset. This spike, while unexplained by available data, contrasts with a 40% decline in robbery (from 5 to 3) and a 33.3% drop in public order offences (from 66 to 44). The property crime category as a whole saw a 5.3% increase, driven by burglary, but remained 14.4% below the UK average for property crime (0.7 per 1,000). Violent crime, though the largest category, is 22% below the UK average, with 2.0 per 1,000 compared to the national 2.6. Anti-social behaviour, at 0.5 per 1,000, is 53% below the UK average, suggesting effective local measures in addressing low-level disorder. Shoplifting increased by 24.4% (41 to 51), yet remains 37% below the UK average, possibly reflecting seasonal shopping pressures without a broader trend. Residents may find the 100% reduction in bicycle theft (from 4 to 5) and robbery (from 5 to 3) reassuring, though these figures are subject to statistical volatility due to small numbers.

Test Valley’s November 2025 crime rate of 4.8 per 1,000 represents a 3.8% decrease from the previous month’s 5.0, continuing a downward trend observed in recent quarters. On a daily basis, the district recorded approximately 22 crimes per day, translating to a monthly exposure rate of one crime for every 209 residents. This figure is significantly lower than the UK average. The 34.2% gap between Test Valley’s rate and the UK average highlights the district’s relative safety, particularly in categories like anti-social behaviour (53% below) and shoplifting (37% below). However, the burglary increase raises questions about localized vulnerabilities, especially during November’s darker evenings and festive events. With a population of 135,201, the district’s crime profile reflects a balance between proactive policing and community factors that mitigate violence and disorder, despite the unexpected property crime spike. The 1-in-209 monthly exposure rate suggests that most residents experience no crime during the month, though the burglary surge may have temporarily disrupted this pattern in specific areas.