Churchdown Crime Rate July 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Churchdown's crime rate in July 2024 stood at 4.6 per 1,000 residents, 45.2% below the UK average of 8.4 per 1,000—a figure that underscores the area's consistently lower crime profile compared to national benchmarks. The most prevalent crime types were violence and sexual offences (34.3% of total), followed by anti-social behaviour (26.9%) and public order offences (9.0%). These patterns align with the area's seasonal dynamics: as a built-up part of Tewkesbury, Churchdown experiences heightened activity during summer months, with festivals and events potentially driving anti-social behaviour and public order issues. However, the overall rate remains markedly lower than the UK average, a trend that may be attributed to the area's character as a stable, community-focused environment. The seasonal context of July—peak summer, school holidays, and tourism—likely influences these figures, with outdoor events and increased foot traffic creating opportunities for certain crimes while reducing others. For instance, the sharp decline in shoplifting (down 82.4% from June) may reflect reduced retail activity during the summer break, whereas the rise in burglary could be tied to temporary property vulnerabilities during events. This interplay between local rhythms and crime patterns highlights the importance of understanding Churchdown's unique context when interpreting statistical trends.

July 2024 saw a striking 82.4% reduction in shoplifting, falling from 17 incidents to 3—a shift likely influenced by the summer holidays and reduced retail footfall. This decrease contrasts with a 100% rise in burglary, a category that climbed from 0 to 4 incidents, potentially linked to increased outdoor events and temporary property vulnerabilities. Violence and sexual offences also declined by 46.5%, a drop from 43 to 23 cases, which may reflect seasonal patterns where summer festivals and family-oriented activities reduce opportunities for violent crime. Churchdown's rate for violence and sexual offences is 44% below the UK average, a gap that highlights the area's relative safety in this category. Meanwhile, anti-social behaviour remained 17% below the UK average, a consistency that suggests ongoing community efforts to manage local tensions. The sharp increase in criminal damage and arson—doubling from 3 to 6 cases—raises questions about the interplay between summer events and property-related incidents, though no direct causal link is confirmed.

Churchdown's crime rate in July 2024 dropped to 4.6 per 1,000 residents, a 33.1% decrease from June's 6.8 per 1,000. This reduction aligns with broader seasonal trends, where summer holidays and festivals may temporarily displace opportunistic crimes. Locally, the average resident faced a 1-in-219 chance of experiencing a reported crime over the month, a figure that contextualises the rate within the community's daily life. Daily crime numbers averaged 2 incidents per day, a statistic that highlights the manageable scale of crime in this built-up area. When compared to the UK average, Churchdown's overall rate remains 45.2% lower, a consistent pattern that reflects the area's character as a relatively low-crime, stable environment. The population context further underscores this: with 14,647 residents, the monthly exposure rate translates to a tangible, non-overwhelming risk level for most residents. This stability contrasts with national trends, suggesting local factors—such as community cohesion or effective policing—may contribute to the sustained lower rate.