Churchdown Crime Rate November 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Churchdown's November 2024 crime rate of 4.5 per 1,000 residents marked a stark departure from expectations, with bicycle theft and vehicle crime both surging to unprecedented levels. This built-up area within Tewkesbury, typically characterized by low crime rates, saw two previously unrecorded crimes in the category: one bicycle theft and one vehicle crime, both jumping from zero to one incident—a 100% increase. This anomaly contrasts sharply with the broader trend of declining crime in the area, where overall rates remain 40.8% below the UK average of 7.6 per 1,000. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 37.9% of total crimes, though this rate (1.7 per 1,000) was 34% below the UK average, reflecting a safer environment for residents compared to national benchmarks. Anti-social behaviour remained the second most common crime type (24.2% of total), with a 23.8% decrease from October, likely linked to the seasonal transition into darker evenings and reduced outdoor activity. The data suggests a combination of local demographics and seasonal factors, with November's Black Friday shopping and Bonfire Night events potentially influencing retail-related crimes. However, the sharp rise in vehicle and bicycle thefts defies immediate explanation, requiring further analysis of local patterns or temporary vulnerabilities in security measures.

November 2024 saw two unexpected spikes in crime categories: bicycle theft and vehicle crime both doubled compared to October, marking the first recorded incidents in these categories for the month. This 100% increase contrasts with broader declines, such as a 22.2% drop in shoplifting (from 9 to 7 incidents) and a 23.8% reduction in anti-social behaviour (from 21 to 16). The crime mix also shifted, with public order offences rising by 33.3% (from 6 to 8), potentially linked to Bonfire Night activities. Violence and sexual offences remained significantly below the UK average (1.7 per 1,000 vs. 2.6 per 1,000), while anti-social behaviour (1.1 per 1,000) was only 1% below the UK rate. The sharp increase in vehicle crime—despite Churchdown's generally low rates—suggests a need for targeted awareness, particularly for residents storing vehicles in less secure areas. These findings highlight the unpredictable nature of crime patterns, even in areas with historically stable statistics.

Churchdown's November 2024 crime rate of 4.5 per 1,000 residents represented a 13.1% decrease from the previous month's rate of 5.2 per 1,000, continuing a downward trend observed over recent months. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 2 crimes per day, a figure that, while low, underscores the importance of vigilance during events like Bonfire Night. Over the course of November, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 222 residents, a monthly exposure rate that is lower than the UK average. This statistic provides a tangible measure of safety for local residents, though the 100% increase in bicycle theft and vehicle crime raises questions about temporary vulnerabilities. The population-scaled perspective further illustrates that Churchdown's crime profile remains markedly safer than national averages, with violent crimes and anti-social behaviour both significantly below UK benchmarks. However, the absence of prior incidents in vehicle crime highlights the need for continuous monitoring, as even small increases can signal emerging risks in specific categories.