Winchcombe Crime Rate November 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Winchcombe’s November 2024 crime rate of 3.0 per 1,000 residents places it 60.5% below the UK average of 7.6 per 1,000, underscoring a marked contrast with national trends. This rate, the lowest recorded in the area’s monthly history, reflects a broader pattern of low crime that aligns with Winchcombe’s character as a largely rural, commuter-focused built-up area within Tewkesbury. The top crime types—violence and sexual offences (31.3% of total), anti-social behaviour (25.0%), and vehicle crime (12.5%)—suggest a mix of local challenges and community-specific dynamics. Violence and sexual offences, though the most common category, remain 65% below the UK average, a gap that may be attributed to Winchcombe’s lower population density and limited nightlife infrastructure compared to urban centres. Anti-social behaviour, while still below the UK rate, saw a notable 42.9% decrease from October, possibly linked to seasonal factors such as the end of term-time activities and reduced public gatherings. The area’s crime profile is further shaped by November’s context: Bonfire Night and Black Friday may have influenced retail-related offences, with shoplifting incidents 42% below the UK average despite increased foot traffic. Vehicle crime, though rising sharply in November, remains just 9% below the UK average, suggesting that local infrastructure—such as limited parking or car ownership—may limit opportunities for such offences. These patterns collectively illustrate a community where crime is not only low in absolute terms but also diverges significantly from national averages, reflecting the interplay of geography, demographics, and seasonal rhythms.

November 2024 saw a 100% increase in vehicle crime, rising from zero to two incidents, a shift that may partly explain the broader property crime dynamics. Anti-social behaviour fell by 42.9%, decreasing from seven to four incidents, a decline consistent with seasonal patterns as darker evenings potentially reduce opportunities for such activity. Violence and sexual offences, the most common crime type, remained 65% below the UK average, highlighting a persistent divergence from national trends. Other crime also rose sharply, doubling from one to two incidents, though this category is 135% above the UK average, indicating an anomaly that warrants further observation. The month’s context—marked by Bonfire Night and Black Friday—may have influenced shoplifting rates, which fell 42% below the UK average despite heightened retail activity.

Winchcombe's November 2024 crime rate of 3.0 per 1,000 residents represents a 5.9% decline from the previous month’s 3.2 per 1,000, reflecting a sustained period of low crime relative to the UK average. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 332 residents, illustrating a monthly exposure rate that underscores the area’s safety profile. Daily crime statistics show an average of one crime per day, a figure that contextualises the pace at which incidents occur in a community of 5,307 people. This low daily frequency, combined with the area’s population size, suggests that local factors—such as community engagement or geographic characteristics—play a role in maintaining this trend. When compared to the UK’s broader context, Winchcombe’s crime rate remains lower, with no indication of significant spikes in any category that would disrupt this pattern. The population-scaled perspective further reinforces that the area’s crime experience is distinct from national averages, particularly in categories like violence and anti-social behaviour, where local rates are substantially below UK levels.