Three Rivers Crime Rate November 2025 | Monthly Statistics

In November 2025, Three Rivers Local Authority District recorded a crime rate of 5.0 per 1,000 residents, 31.5% below the UK average of 7.3 per 1,000. This figure underscores a consistent pattern of lower-than-average crime levels in the area, though the balance between property and violent crime reveals a nuanced picture. Violent crimes, including violence and sexual offences, accounted for 38.0% of all reported incidents, outpacing property crimes (166) by 15 incidents. This dominance of violent crime contrasts with the UK average, where property crimes typically constitute a larger share. The seasonal context of November—marked by Bonfire Night, Black Friday shopping, and shorter daylight hours—may have influenced this pattern. For instance, the 38.0% share of violent crimes could reflect increased social interactions during holiday events or heightened tensions in public spaces. Anti-social behaviour, the second most common category (12.8% of total crimes), also aligns with the UK trend of seasonal spikes in disorderly conduct, though Three Rivers remains significantly below the national average for this category (43% below). The lower-than-expected rate of shoplifting (10.1% of total crimes, 21% below UK average) may indicate effective retail security measures or a shift in criminal focus toward more direct confrontations. This interplay between property and violent crime suggests a dynamic local environment where community initiatives and seasonal factors intersect to shape the crime profile.

November 2025 saw notable shifts in crime trends, with vehicle crime surging by 58.3% (from 24 to 38 incidents) and drug-related offences rising by 44.4% (from 18 to 26). This increase in vehicle crime could be linked to the approach of winter, which often sees higher rates of car-related theft as temperatures drop and outdoor activity declines. Conversely, shoplifting decreased by 36.8% (from 76 to 48), potentially reflecting the success of Black Friday security measures or a strategic shift by offenders toward other crime types. Anti-social behaviour also dropped by 35.8% (from 95 to 61), a decline that may be tied to heightened community engagement during the festive season or the implementation of local initiatives targeting disorderly conduct. The balance between property and violent crime remained stark, with violent crimes (181) outpacing property crimes (166) by 15 incidents. This 15-incident gap is significant in the context of Three Rivers’ overall crime rate, where violent crimes account for 38.0% of all reported incidents—26% below the UK average for this category (2.6 per 1,000). The relatively low rate of violent crime compared to the UK average may indicate a combination of effective policing, strong community cohesion, or demographic factors such as a lower proportion of high-risk populations in the area. However, the sharp rise in drug-related offences deserves closer attention, as this category is now 11% above the UK average (0.3 per 1,000). Residents might find the 38% reduction in theft from the person (from 4 to 1 incidents) particularly reassuring, suggesting that targeted measures to protect vulnerable individuals may be yielding results.

The crime rate in November 2025 (5.0 per 1,000) represents a 10.8% decrease from the previous month’s rate of 5.6 per 1,000, marking a downward trend in local crime levels. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 201 residents, a monthly exposure rate that remains significantly lower than the UK average. Daily crime statistics show that Three Rivers experienced an average of 16 crimes per day in November, a figure that, while indicative of local activity, is tempered by the area’s overall safety profile. This daily rate is consistent with the 5.0 per 1,000 crime rate when scaled across the population of 95,807 residents. The decline from 5.6 to 5.0 per 1,000 may reflect seasonal factors such as the closure of certain retail outlets during the Christmas period or reduced outdoor activity as temperatures drop. However, the persistent gap between Three Rivers and the UK average—31.5% lower—suggests a broader trend of lower crime rates in the area. This could be attributed to a combination of factors, including a relatively affluent population, strong community policing, or the absence of high-risk environments such as densely populated urban centres. The population-scaled perspective also highlights that the local rate is more than double the UK average’s inverse—Three Rivers’ rate is 31.5% below, meaning the UK average would need to fall by the same proportion to match Three Rivers’ level. This comparative advantage may be reinforced by local initiatives that have effectively reduced both property and violent crime over recent months.