Chadwell St Mary Crime Rate November 2024 | Monthly Statistics

For a built-up area of 10,614 residents, 88 crimes in November 2024 equate to 8.3 reported incidents per 1,000 people — 9.2% above the UK average of 7.6. This rate translates to roughly one crime for every 121 residents over the course of the month, highlighting a persistent need for local vigilance. The most significant portion of crimes (46.6%) falls under violence and sexual offences, a category that is 51% above the UK average. This spike may partly explain the overall elevated rate, with factors like dark evenings and seasonal events such as Bonfire Night potentially contributing to increased tensions. Property crimes (31 total) represent a smaller share (35.2%) than violent crimes, but the category of criminal damage and arson (15 incidents) is 146% above the UK average, suggesting specific vulnerabilities in the area’s infrastructure or community dynamics. Vehicle crime (10 incidents) also exceeds the UK rate by 105%, which could be linked to local transport patterns or unsecured parking areas. While anti-social behaviour (5 incidents) is 55% below the UK average, this may reflect community engagement efforts or a lower density of public spaces. The seasonal context of November — with its shorter daylight hours, Black Friday shopping activity, and the Bonfire Night event — could influence both violent and property crime trends, though direct causation remains unproven without further analysis.

November 2024 saw a 100% increase in burglary, shoplifting, and bicycle theft compared to October, with each of these categories moving from zero to one or two incidents. This jump, while small in absolute terms, signals a potential shift in criminal activity patterns, possibly linked to seasonal factors such as increased foot traffic during Black Friday or the timing of Bonfire Night events. Meanwhile, other crime (e.g. fraud or cybercrime) fell by 62.5%, from eight to three incidents, which may indicate temporary reductions in certain categories of non-violent crime. The breakdown of violent crimes (41 incidents) reveals a stark contrast to the UK average, with violence and sexual offences at 3.9 per 1,000 (51% above the national rate). This divergence could be attributed to local demographics, such as a younger population or higher transient activity. Anti-social behaviour, which declined by 37.5% (from eight to five incidents), remains 55% below the UK average, suggesting that community-focused policing or local initiatives may be having an effect. Residents might find the 100% rise in bicycle theft particularly noteworthy, as it highlights a specific vulnerability in the area’s infrastructure or parking arrangements, warranting attention from local authorities.

The crime rate in Chadwell St Mary rose from 7.7 per 1,000 in October to 8.3 per 1,000 in November, marking a 7.2% increase over the previous month. This shift, while modest, underscores the fluctuating nature of crime in the area. On a daily basis, the average number of crimes reported in November was approximately three per day — a figure that, while locally specific, offers a tangible sense of frequency for residents. Over the course of the month, one crime was reported for roughly every 121 residents, a monthly exposure rate that, when contextualised against the population of 10,614, illustrates the scale of incidents relative to the community. While this rate is higher than the UK average, the comparison is not uniform across all crime categories. For instance, anti-social behaviour remains 55% below the national average, which could reflect effective local policing or community engagement. However, the starkly elevated rates in violence and sexual offences (51% above UK levels) and criminal damage and arson (146% above) highlight areas where the area diverges significantly from national trends. These disparities suggest that while some aspects of local crime management may be effective, others require targeted interventions, particularly in addressing the root causes of violent and property-related crimes.