Borough Green Crime Rate October 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Violence and sexual offences remain the most significant category of crime in Borough Green, accounting for 29.7% of all reported incidents in October 2023. This category recorded 11 crimes at a rate of 1.8 per 1,000 residents, 33% below the UK average for the same category. Other theft, the second most common crime type, contributed 27.0% of total incidents (10 crimes) at a rate of 1.6 per 1,000, marking a striking 158% increase compared to the UK average of 0.6 per 1,000. These patterns suggest a mix of local dynamics influencing crime trends. The area’s lower-than-average overall crime rate of 6.0 per 1,000 residents—25% below the UK’s 8.0 per 1,000—may reflect a combination of effective community policing, lower population density relative to major urban centres, and the area’s character as a built-up suburb within a larger rural district. Seasonal factors in October, including darker evenings and Halloween, may contribute to increased reports of violence and public order offences. The dominance of property-related crimes (39% of total incidents) compared to violent crimes (29.7%) suggests a balance between local challenges and broader regional patterns. This mix of crime types highlights the need for targeted interventions addressing both personal safety and property protection, particularly in areas with higher foot traffic or transient populations.

October 2023 saw notable shifts in crime patterns, with several categories experiencing significant changes. Violence and sexual offences decreased by 42.1% compared to the previous month, dropping from 19 to 11 incidents. This decline may be linked to seasonal factors, such as shorter evenings and the absence of large public events typical in other months. Conversely, burglary increased by 100%, rising from 1 to 2 incidents, a spike that could reflect heightened vulnerability in residential areas during darker autumn nights. Bicycle theft also doubled, with one reported incident, tied to increased cycling during cooler weather. Other theft, though not showing a month-on-month change, remains high compared to the UK average, with 10 incidents at 1.6 per 1,000—158% above the national rate of 0.6 per 1,000. This discrepancy may indicate localised issues such as unsecured retail premises or targeted theft in specific neighbourhoods. Meanwhile, anti-social behaviour fell sharply by 75%, declining from 4 to 1 incident, due to community efforts or the absence of major events. These fluctuations underscore the need for ongoing monitoring of crime trends, particularly in categories like other theft, where local rates are markedly higher than the UK average, and burglary, where a small but significant increase occurred.

Borough Green’s crime rate of 6.0 per 1,000 residents in October 2023 represents an 11.9% decrease from the previous month’s rate of 6.8 per 1,000, indicating a downward trend in overall crime. This decline places the area well below the UK average, with a 25% gap between its rate and the national figure of 8.0 per 1,000. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately one reported crime per day over the 31-day period, a statistic that may be more relatable for residents than aggregate monthly figures. When viewed through the lens of population, this translates to one crime occurring for roughly every 166 residents over the course of the month—a rate that, while not negligible, is significantly lower than many comparable areas. The population-scaled perspective highlights the relatively low risk residents face compared to the UK average, though localised disparities in crime types—such as other theft being 158% above the UK rate—suggest that specific challenges remain. These figures provide context for residents considering their safety, illustrating that while the area is generally safer than the UK average, targeted attention to certain crime categories may still be necessary to maintain this trend.