Vale of Glamorgan Crime Rate May 2025 | Monthly Statistics

In the Vale of Glamorgan, the average resident faces a 1-in-151 chance of being directly affected by a reported crime over the course of May 2025, according to the monthly crime rate of 6.6 per 1,000 people. This rate is 18.5% below the UK average of 8.1 per 1,000, suggesting a relatively lower risk of encountering crime compared to the rest of the country. The most significant contributors to crime in the area were violence and sexual offences (36.5% of all crimes), followed by anti-social behaviour (15.5%) and public order issues (11.8%). The seasonal context of May, with its extended evenings and increased social activity, may partly explain the higher proportion of public order offences compared to other months. While the area’s coastal and urban character likely influences crime patterns—such as higher public order incidents in tourist or nightlife areas—the overall rate remains lower than the UK average. This suggests that local factors, including community policing efforts or demographic composition, may contribute to the reduced risk profile. However, the exact reasons for this disparity, and further analysis would be required to isolate specific influences.

May 2025 saw a stark shift in crime trends, with burglary rates tripling compared to April (19 to 38 incidents), a 100% increase that could reflect heightened activity during bank holidays or increased property vulnerability. Conversely, shoplifting dropped by 37.8% (98 to 61), potentially linked to seasonal retail patterns or reduced foot traffic in May. Violence and sexual offences remained the most prevalent category, accounting for 36.5% of all crimes, but this rate was 15% below the UK average of 2.8 per 1,000, highlighting a consistent gap in this category. Public order offences, however, stood out as 38% above the UK average, a figure that may correlate with the area’s coastal and urban character, where longer evenings and socialising could drive such incidents. For residents, the most immediate concern is the sharp rise in burglary, which may suggest a need for heightened vigilance during the month. The drop in shoplifting, meanwhile, offers a rare positive trend that could be worth monitoring in future months.

The crime rate in the Vale of Glamorgan rose by 9.8% from April 2025 (6.0 per 1,000) to 6.6 per 1,000 in May, reflecting a modest upward trend. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately 29 crimes per day in May, a figure that provides a tangible sense of the pace at which incidents occur locally. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 151 residents, a monthly exposure rate that places the Vale of Glamorgan in a relatively safer position compared to the UK average. The population context of 135,743 residents means that even small absolute changes in crime numbers can translate into significant shifts in per-capita rates. While the overall rate remains below the UK average, the increase in public order offences and burglary highlights areas where local conditions may diverge from national trends. For residents, the 1-in-151 figure illustrates that the risk of personal involvement in a crime remains comparatively low, though the monthly rise underscores the need for continued awareness of emerging patterns.