Vale of White Horse Crime Rate November 2024 | Monthly Statistics

In November 2024, Vale of White Horse maintained a crime rate of 4.6 per 1,000 residents, 39.5% below the UK average of 7.6. This figure translates to one reported crime for every 216 residents over the month, a statistic that contextualises risk in everyday terms. The area’s crime profile shows a clear pattern: violence and sexual offences (270 incidents, 39.1% of total) dominate, followed by public order (66 incidents) and anti-social behaviour (62 incidents). These figures contrast with the UK averages for these categories, which are 2.6, 0.5, and 1.1 per 1,000 respectively. The local context of November—dark evenings, Bonfire Night, and Black Friday shopping—likely influences these patterns. Retail areas may see increased public order incidents due to heightened foot traffic, while dimly lit rural roads could contribute to higher rates of anti-social behaviour. Seasonal factors also appear to affect property crimes: though overall property crime rates remain below the UK average, the rise in burglary (44 incidents) may be linked to increased home security concerns during the holiday season. Violent crime rates, however, remain lower than the UK average, reflecting the area’s rural character and lower population density. These figures suggest that while Vale of White Horse is generally safer than the UK average, targeted interventions in high-risk areas during peak seasonal periods could further reduce crime rates.

November 2024 saw significant fluctuations in crime types, with burglary rates doubling compared to October (22 to 44 incidents). This sharp increase, though still below the UK average for burglary (0.3 per 1,000), may reflect seasonal vulnerabilities such as homes left unoccupied during the festive period. Conversely, bicycle theft rates fell by 57.9% (19 to 8 incidents), possibly due to reduced cycling activity as temperatures dropped. Drug-related offences also rose by 41.7% (24 to 34 incidents), a trend that contrasts with the UK average of 0.3 per 1,000. This increase may be linked to heightened social activity during November’s major events, though further data would be needed to confirm this connection. Anti-social behaviour, which accounted for 9.0% of all crimes, remained significantly below the UK average (64% below), suggesting the area’s community-focused policing strategies may be effective. The breakdown also reveals stark contrasts: theft from the person (6 incidents) and robbery (5 incidents) were 100% below UK averages, a pattern consistent with the area’s low population density and limited nightlife. These shifts highlight the importance of monitoring specific crime types during seasonal transitions, as local factors can amplify or mitigate national trends.

The crime rate in Vale of White Horse dropped by 4.0% from October’s 4.8 to November’s 4.6 per 1,000 residents, a decline that, while modest, aligns with the area’s generally lower crime profile. On a daily basis, 23 crimes were reported each day in November, a figure that, when contextualised, means residents face a 1-in-216 chance of experiencing a crime over the course of the month. This monthly exposure rate is significantly lower than the UK average, which would place the figure closer to 1-in-130. The area’s population of 149,347 also plays a role in shaping these statistics: with fewer residents per square mile than densely populated regions, the likelihood of encountering crime in public spaces is inherently lower. However, this does not eliminate risk entirely. For instance, the 44 burglary incidents in November—though still below the UK average—represent a 100% increase from October, underscoring the need for vigilance in high-risk periods. The comparison to the UK average also reveals that Vale of White Horse’s residents benefit from consistently lower rates of violent crime (30% below the UK average for violence and sexual offences) and property crime (57% below the UK average for shoplifting). These differences may reflect the area’s rural character, where community cohesion and policing presence can deter criminal activity more effectively than in urban centres.