Welham Green Crime Rate July 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Welham Green's crime rate in July 2023 stood at 3.8 crimes per 1,000 residents, placing it 54.2% below the UK average of 8.3 per 1,000. This stark contrast with national figures highlights the area's generally low crime profile. Anti-social behaviour dominated the crime profile, accounting for 52.4% of all reported incidents (11 cases), followed by violence and sexual offences (6 cases, 28.6%) and criminal damage (2 cases, 9.5%). These figures align with the seasonal context of July, a peak summer month marked by school holidays, festivals, and increased outdoor activity. The area's relatively low overall crime rate may reflect its character as a built-up area within Welwyn Hatfield, where residential density and community engagement could contribute to lower violent crime rates compared to larger urban centres. However, the prominence of anti-social behaviour suggests challenges in managing public order during periods of heightened social activity. This pattern is consistent with other low-density built-up areas where transient populations or recreational events may temporarily elevate certain types of disorder. The UK average for anti-social behaviour (1.4 per 1,000) is significantly lower than Welham Green's rate, indicating a localised concentration of this category. While property crimes remained minimal (4 total), the balance between property and violent crimes shifted slightly in July, with violent offences comprising 28.6% of the total—a proportion lower than the UK average for violent crime. This divergence may reflect the area's specific demographics or land use patterns, though further analysis would be needed to confirm such connections.

July 2023 saw sharp increases in violence and sexual offences (+200% from 2 to 6 cases) and anti-social behaviour (+175% from 4 to 11 cases), marking a significant shift in the crime profile compared to June. These spikes contrast with decreases in criminal damage and arson (-50% from 4 to 2 cases) and burglary (-50% from 2 to 1 case). The category of anti-social behaviour in Welham Green (2.0 per 1,000) is 41% above the UK average (1.4 per 1,000), suggesting a localised challenge in managing public disorder during summer months. Conversely, violent crime in the area (1.1 per 1,000) is 60% below the UK average (2.8 per 1,000), a discrepancy that may reflect the area's lower population density and potentially stronger community cohesion. Robbery, at 0.2 per 1,000, is 100% above the UK average of 0.1 per 1,000—a small but notable outlier that could indicate specific vulnerabilities in local security practices. Residents might find the 52.4% share of anti-social behaviour particularly relevant, as it suggests that public order issues could be a focal point for local initiatives during peak summer periods.

Welham Green's crime rate in July 2023 (3.8 per 1,000) represents an increase of 31.1% from the previous month's rate of 2.9 per 1,000, though it remains substantially below the UK average. Over the course of the month, 21 total crimes were reported, equating to roughly 1 crime per day—a daily frequency that is significantly lower than many urban centres. When scaled to the area's population of 5,545 residents, this translates to one reported crime occurring for roughly every 264 residents during July. This monthly exposure rate provides context for residents, showing that the likelihood of experiencing a crime is relatively low compared to national benchmarks. The previous month's rate (2.9) was already below the UK average, suggesting that while the area has maintained a generally low crime profile, the recent increase may be tied to seasonal factors such as the influx of visitors during festivals or the extended outdoor activity associated with summer. The comparison to the UK average reinforces Welham Green's status as a relatively safe area, though the specific nature of its crime types—particularly the concentration of anti-social behaviour—highlights unique challenges that differ from national patterns. These differences may reflect the area's built-up character within a larger commuter belt, where transient populations or recreational events could temporarily elevate certain categories of disorder.