Welham Green Crime Rate October 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Violence and sexual offences emerged as the dominant category in Welham Green's October 2024 crime profile, accounting for 30.3% of all reported incidents. This category, at 1.8 per 1,000 residents, remains 33% below the UK average of 2.7 per 1,000, suggesting a consistent safety profile for the area. Anti-social behaviour followed closely with 21.2% of total crimes, while vehicle crime, though lower in overall share (15.2%), saw a 91% increase compared to the UK average. These figures align with the area's characteristics as a built-up part of Welwyn Hatfield, where local amenities and seasonal rhythms may influence crime patterns. October's darker evenings and the timing of Halloween likely contributed to the rise in public order offences and anti-social behaviour, which increased by 200% month-on-month. The overall crime rate of 6.0 per 1,000—25.9% below the UK average—reflects a generally low-crime environment, though the surge in vehicle crime raises questions about specific local factors, such as parking density or seasonal mobility patterns. The relative stability of violent crime compared to the UK trend may indicate effective community policing or the absence of concentrated risk factors in the area. These data points, when viewed alongside the seasonal context, highlight the importance of ongoing analysis to identify emerging trends.

The most striking shift in October 2024 was the 400% increase in vehicle crime, rising from one to five incidents. This jump, though small in absolute terms, may reflect seasonal patterns such as increased car usage during darker evenings or the timing of local events. Conversely, other crime fell by 80% (from five to one), a drop that could indicate improved community engagement or temporary displacement of activity. Violence and sexual offences remained 33% below the UK average at 1.8 per 1,000, a figure that contrasts with the 91% above UK average for vehicle crime (0.9 per 1,000). Public order offences also surged by 200%, from one to three, linked to Halloween-related disturbances. These divergent trends highlight the combination of local factors and seasonal dynamics in shaping crime patterns.

Welham Green's crime rate in October 2024 (6.0 per 1,000 residents) reflects a 37.4% increase compared to the previous month's rate of 4.3 per 1,000. This rise, though modest in absolute terms (33 total crimes over 31 days), translates to roughly one reported crime per day in the area. Over the course of the month, one crime occurred for every 168 residents—a figure that contextualises the pace of incidents within the local population of 5,545. The shift from September to October aligns with seasonal factors, including the return of darker evenings after the clocks went back and the proximity of Halloween, which may influence patterns of anti-social behaviour and public order incidents. While the rate remains 25.9% below the UK average, the month-on-month increase underscores the need for continued monitoring of trends in specific categories, such as vehicle crime, which saw a 400% surge.