The outlook for crime trends in Urchfont over the next year suggests a continued, albeit potentially manageable, increase. Currently, Urchfont, a village in Wiltshire with a population of 1984, exhibits a crime rate of 27.7 incidents per 1,000 residents. This is considerably lower than the UK national average of 91.6 incidents per 1,000. Furthermore, Urchfont’s safety score stands at an impressive 93 out of 100, well above the UK average of 79, indicating a generally safe environment.
However, recent data reveals a concerning trend: crime rates have been increasing by 7.8% year-on-year. While this percentage increase isn’t drastically high, it signals a shift that warrants careful monitoring. It's crucial to understand that a small percentage increase can represent a meaningful change in a smaller population like Urchfont’s. The specific types of crimes contributing to this increase are not specified in the available data, but the upward trajectory is the key factor to consider.
Predicting crime trends is complex and influenced by various factors not reflected in these statistics. These factors can include changes in population demographics, economic conditions, and local initiatives. Given the current trend, it is reasonable to anticipate that crime rates in Urchfont could continue to rise, though the pace of this increase is uncertain. The lower base crime rate means that even a small number of additional incidents can significantly impact the overall rate. It's important to note that the data represents a snapshot in time and may not fully capture all aspects of community safety. Local authorities and residents should work together to understand the underlying causes of the increasing trend and implement preventative measures.