Denmead Crime Rate October 2023 | Monthly Statistics

The most unexpected shift in October 2023 was the 91.7% month-on-month drop in violence and sexual offences, which fell from 12 incidents in September to just one reported case. This dramatic decline contrasts with the usual seasonal patterns, where darker evenings and Halloween typically correlate with increased public order issues. Denmead’s overall crime rate of 0.8 per 1,000 residents — 90% below the UK average of 8.0 — highlights the area’s consistently low crime profile. While the UK average sees over 8 crimes per 1,000 people, Denmead’s 4 total crimes in October represent an exceptionally rare occurrence for a built-up area within Winchester. The breakdown reveals four distinct crime types, each accounting for 25% of the total, with drugs, criminal damage, violence and sexual offences, and public order crimes all falling significantly below UK averages. This distribution suggests a focus on low-level, isolated incidents rather than systemic issues. Seasonal factors like the clocks going back and Halloween may have influenced local activity, but the absence of major spikes in public order or property crime indicates strong community resilience. The area’s character as a low-density residential zone with limited commercial activity likely contributes to its safety record, though further analysis would be needed to confirm this. October’s figures reinforce Denmead’s position as an outlier in national crime statistics, with no major crime category approaching the UK average.

October 2023 saw a striking reversal in violence and sexual offences, which dropped by 91.7% from September’s 12 incidents to a single report. This decline defies expectations for a month marked by darker evenings and Halloween, which typically correlate with increased alcohol-fuelled violence. Simultaneously, drugs and public order crimes both rose by 100% compared to September, though they remain well below UK averages. For example, drugs-related incidents in Denmead (0.2 per 1,000) are exactly aligned with the UK average of 0.2 per 1,000, suggesting no local overrepresentation. The crime mix also shifted significantly: property crimes, which usually dominate in built-up areas, accounted for just 25% of total crimes in October, compared to 30% in the previous month. This shift may reflect seasonal patterns, with fewer retail opportunities in October compared to peak shopping months. Residents might find the 1-in-1306 monthly exposure rate particularly reassuring — this means a resident would statistically encounter one crime every 1306 people over the course of the month. The absence of major spikes in any category, despite the 100% increase in two minor crime types, underscores the area’s overall safety. These findings highlight the unpredictable nature of crime in low-density areas, where even small changes in local activity can have outsized impacts on monthly statistics.

Denmead’s October 2023 crime rate of 0.8 per 1,000 residents represents a 78.8% decrease from September’s 3.6 per 1,000, a drop that places it among the safest areas in the UK. On a daily basis, the area saw effectively zero crimes reported in October — 4 total crimes over 31 days equates to an average of 0.13 per day. This daily figure is particularly striking when compared to the UK average of roughly 2.4 crimes per day in similar-sized built-up areas. The monthly exposure rate of 1 crime per 1306 residents further contextualises this safety: in a population of 5222, the likelihood of any individual experiencing a crime in October was less than 0.1%. This statistic is especially meaningful for local families, who may feel reassured by the low probability of encountering crime in their daily lives. When viewed against the UK average, Denmead’s performance is exceptional: its crime rate is 90% below the national average, and all four major crime categories (drugs, criminal damage, violence, public order) are below the UK average for their respective types. This consistency across categories suggests systemic factors — such as strong community policing or low population density — that contribute to the area’s safety. The comparison also highlights the area’s ability to maintain low crime levels despite the seasonal challenges of shorter days and increased nocturnal activity, which typically correlate with higher crime rates in other parts of the country.