Acrefair and Cefn-mawr Crime Rate November 2023 | Monthly Statistics

The crime profile of Acrefair and Cefn-mawr in November 2023 reveals a distinct balance of crime types that diverges from the UK average, with violent and property-related offences forming a significant portion of the total. The overall crime rate of 11.2 per 1,000 residents—49.3% above the UK average of 7.5—underscores the area’s elevated risk compared to the national context. Violence and sexual offences (24 incidents, 31.2% of total crimes) dominate, followed by anti-social behaviour (20 incidents, 26.0%) and criminal damage and arson (9 incidents, 11.7%). These figures align with patterns often seen in built-up areas where community tensions, public spaces, and seasonal events like Bonfire Night may amplify incidents of disorder. The prominence of anti-social behaviour, which is 176% above the UK average, suggests that local factors such as youth activity, alcohol consumption, or social fragmentation may be contributing to this trend. Meanwhile, shoplifting and vehicle crime are below the UK average, reflecting the area’s retail dynamics or effective local policing. The month’s context—dark evenings, Black Friday shopping, and Bonfire Night—may have influenced crime patterns, with anti-social behaviour and public order offences likely exacerbated by these seasonal pressures. However, the absence of a major spike in theft-related crimes, such as shoplifting (27% below UK average), hints at either successful prevention efforts or a lack of high-traffic retail hubs that typically drive such offences. This combination of local conditions and national trends highlights the need for targeted strategies to address the area’s unique challenges.

November saw a dramatic 600% increase in burglary, rising from one incident to seven, a spike that could reflect heightened vulnerability during darker evenings or seasonal disruptions. Vehicle crime and other crime also doubled from zero to one and one to two, respectively, though these remain below the UK average. Conversely, other theft and drugs offences fell by 50% and 40%, respectively, potentially indicating short-term shifts in criminal activity or local interventions. The crime mix in the area is starkly different from the UK average, with anti-social behaviour (176% above the UK average) and burglary (194% above) dominating the landscape. This imbalance suggests that factors such as community cohesion, local policing strategies, or environmental features may be influencing these trends. For residents, the 27.3% decrease in violence and sexual offences—from 33 to 24—offers a concrete data point that could signal improved safety measures or temporary changes in local patterns.

The crime rate in Acrefair and Cefn-mawr remained stable in November 2023, with a 1.2% decrease from the previous month’s rate of 11.4 to 11.2 per 1,000 residents. While this slight reduction suggests no significant upward trend, the overall rate remains 49.3% above the UK average, highlighting a persistent challenge for local authorities. On a daily basis, the area experienced roughly three crimes per day, a figure that, while locally contextual, underscores the need for continuous monitoring. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 89 residents, a monthly exposure that, when scaled to the area’s population of 6,871, illustrates the frequency of incidents in a compact built-up area. This rate, though stable, remains a stark contrast to the UK average, suggesting that local factors—such as community dynamics or seasonal pressures—may play a role in sustaining higher-than-average crime levels.