Acrefair and Cefn-mawr Crime Rate February 2025 | Monthly Statistics

The crime profile for Acrefair and Cefn-mawr in February 2025 reveals a stark imbalance between property and violent crime, with property-related incidents accounting for 34.5% of total crimes (19 out of 55) compared to 27.3% for violent crimes (15 out of 55). This disparity suggests that local factors — such as the presence of residential or commercial properties in the built-up area — may be driving a higher incidence of theft and burglary. The overall crime rate of 8.0 per 1,000 residents places the area 19.4% above the UK average of 6.7, a gap that is most pronounced in anti-social behaviour (2.5 per 1,000, 158% above the UK average) and criminal damage and arson (1.2 per 1,000, 150% above). Seasonal context appears to play a role, as February’s low outdoor activity and pre-spring lull may have reduced opportunities for violent crime while leaving property more exposed to targeted acts. Anti-social behaviour, which dominates the crime picture (30.9% of all incidents), could be influenced by the area’s built-up nature, where noise, disputes, or other community tensions might escalate during colder months. The breakdown shows a marked absence of drug-related crimes — only 1 incident — which contrasts with the UK average but may reflect the area’s demographic or socioeconomic profile. The rise in burglary and criminal damage, though not directly tied to UK averages, indicates a need for further analysis of local vulnerabilities, such as unsecured properties or areas with high foot traffic.

February 2025 saw a dramatic surge in anti-social behaviour, rising from 8 to 17 incidents — an 112.5% increase — the most pronounced shift in the area. This category alone exceeded the UK average by 158%, suggesting a localised challenge that may be exacerbated by winter conditions or community dynamics. Meanwhile, burglary and criminal damage and arson both doubled compared to January, reaching 5 and 8 incidents respectively. These increases, though not directly linked to UK averages (burglary was 159% above the national rate), indicate a growing focus on property-related crimes. Conversely, public order offences fell by 50%, from 4 to 2, and violence and sexual offences dipped slightly by 6.3%, though the latter still aligned with the UK average. The property-crime dominance — with 19 incidents compared to 15 violent crimes — may reflect seasonal factors, such as reduced outdoor activity limiting opportunities for violent encounters but leaving property more vulnerable to targeted theft or vandalism.

The crime rate in Acrefair and Cefn-mawr rose sharply in February 2025, jumping from 5.1 per 1,000 in January to 8.0 per 1,000, marking a 57.2% increase. This shift places the area significantly above its previous month’s figures, though the daily crime context remains relatively low at an average of two reported incidents per day. Over the course of the month, one crime occurred for roughly every 125 residents, a figure that, while modest, reflects a noticeable uptick in activity. With a population of 6,871, the rate of 8.0 per 1,000 translates to 55 total crimes, a number that, when scaled to the local population, underscores the concentrated nature of incidents. The comparison to the UK average is less relevant here, as the focus lies on the local trajectory — a steep rise that could signal emerging patterns or temporary spikes in specific crime types. Residents may find the monthly exposure statistic particularly useful, as it provides a tangible sense of risk within their community.