Acrefair and Cefn-mawr Crime Rate February 2026 | Monthly Statistics

The crime profile for Acrefair and Cefn-mawr in February 2026 reveals a notable dominance of violent crime over property-related incidents, a pattern that may reflect both seasonal factors and local dynamics. With 19 violent crimes reported compared to 14 property crimes, the area’s overall crime rate of 7.7 per 1,000 residents sits 20.3% above the UK average. This imbalance, where violence and sexual offences (35.9% of total incidents) and anti-social behaviour (17.0%) collectively account for over half of all recorded crimes, contrasts with the UK’s broader distribution of crime types. The seasonal context of February—a winter month marked by reduced outdoor activity and a pre-spring lull—may contribute to higher aggression rates in built-up areas, though the exact causal link remains speculative. The presence of 19 violent crimes, which is 21% above the UK average of 2.3 per 1,000, suggests a potential correlation between the area’s population density and the frequency of interpersonal disputes. Meanwhile, property crimes such as vehicle crime (0.4 per 1,000) and shoplifting (0.2 per 1,000) remain below UK averages, due to the area’s limited retail presence compared to larger urban centres. These findings highlight the need for targeted strategies addressing violent crime while maintaining vigilance in property crime prevention, even as seasonal trends continue to influence local crime patterns.

February 2026 witnessed a 250% increase in 'other crime' incidents, rising from two to seven. This surge, coupled with a 200% rise in vehicle crime (from one to three), indicates a shift in the crime mix toward non-traditional categories. Meanwhile, shoplifting saw a 100% increase, marking its first recorded incident in the month. These changes contrast with declines in drugs-related offences (-50%), burglary (-50%), and public order incidents (-33.3%), suggesting a possible reallocation of criminal activity. The area’s violent crime rate (2.8 per 1,000) is 21% above the UK average, while anti-social behaviour (1.3 per 1,000) is 43% higher than national figures. This imbalance between property and violent crime may reflect seasonal patterns, with winter months correlating with higher aggression rates in built-up areas. Residents may find the 250% increase in 'other crime' particularly concerning, given its broad scope and potential for varied impacts on safety perceptions.

February 2026 saw a 1.8% increase in the area’s crime rate compared to January, rising from 7.6 to 7.7 per 1,000 residents. This slight upward trend contrasts with the overall stability in the monthly crime profile, where daily crime counts remained consistent at approximately two incidents per day. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 130 residents, a figure that contextualises the frequency of incidents within the local population. When compared to the UK average, the area’s crime rate remains 20.3% higher, though the month-on-month change suggests no significant shift in the broader trend. The population-scaled perspective highlights that while the rate is elevated, the absolute number of crimes (53) is relatively low given the area’s size (6,871 residents). This provides a balanced view for residents, showing that while the rate is above the UK average, the actual number of incidents remains manageable within the built-up area’s context.