Great Notley Crime Rate October 2023 | Monthly Statistics

The most striking shift in October 2023 was the 200% increase in shoplifting, which rose from one to three incidents—a stark contrast to the otherwise stable crime profile. Great Notley’s overall crime rate of 3.0 per 1,000 residents remains 62.5% below the UK average of 8.0 per 1,000, reflecting a consistently low crime environment. Violence and sexual offences (5 incidents) and other theft (4 incidents) dominated the crime mix, accounting for nearly 41% of all reported crimes. This pattern aligns with the area’s character as a smaller built-up area within Braintree, where lower population density and community-focused policing may contribute to reduced crime levels. Seasonal factors, such as darker evenings and Halloween, could have influenced minor fluctuations, though no significant spikes in violent crime were observed. The low rate of drug-related offences (2 incidents) and public order issues (1 incident) further highlights the area’s relative safety compared to national trends. While shoplifting’s surge is notable, the broader context of sustained low crime suggests that local conditions—such as retail activity and community engagement—play a key role in shaping the crime picture.

Shoplifting saw the most dramatic increase, surging from one to three incidents—a 200% rise in a single month. This jump, while significant, remains far below the UK average of 0.6 per 1,000 for shoplifting. Burglary also rose by 100%, from one to two incidents, though this still falls 42% below the UK average. Conversely, drug-related crimes dropped by 60%, from five to two incidents, marking a substantial decline that may reflect targeted interventions or seasonal shifts. Public order offences doubled from zero to one incident, though this remains 83% below the UK average. The data underscores a mixed picture: while shoplifting and burglary rose, the overall crime rate stayed stable, and several categories saw sharp declines. For residents, the 60% reduction in drug-related crimes offers a tangible benefit, suggesting potential effectiveness of local strategies in addressing substance-related issues.

October 2023 saw a 4.5% decrease in Great Notley’s crime rate compared to the previous month, falling from 3.1 to 3.0 per 1,000 residents. This slight downward trend aligns with the area’s long-term pattern of low crime, though the month-on-month changes in specific categories—such as the 200% rise in shoplifting—highlight local variations. On a daily basis, the area experienced roughly one crime per day in October, a figure that translates to a monthly exposure of one reported crime for every 336 residents. Given Great Notley’s population of 7,402, this means the likelihood of a resident encountering crime in the month was approximately 0.3%. Compared to the UK average of 8.0 per 1,000, the area’s crime rate is significantly lower, suggesting that factors such as community cohesion, local policing, or the built-up area’s proximity to Braintree’s broader infrastructure may play a role. The contrast with national trends—particularly the sharp drop in drug-related crimes—further illustrates how local conditions can diverge from broader patterns.