Great Notley Crime Rate September 2023 | Monthly Statistics

For a population of 7,402 residents, 23 crimes were reported in Great Notley during September 2023, equating to a crime rate of 3.1 per 1,000 people. This figure is 61.3% below the UK average of 8.0 per 1,000, reflecting a safer environment compared to national trends. The breakdown reveals that violence and sexual offences accounted for 26.1% of all crimes (6 incidents), followed by drugs (21.7%, 5 incidents) and vehicle crime (13.0%, 3 incidents). The seasonal context of September—marking the start of the academic year and the transition to shorter evenings—may influence patterns, with increased foot traffic and social activity potentially contributing to higher drug-related incidents. However, the area remains significantly below the UK average for most categories, with anti-social behaviour and shoplifting both showing marked declines compared to the UK benchmark. This suggests that local factors, such as community cohesion or effective policing, may be playing a role in maintaining lower crime levels despite the seasonal influx of students and commuters.

September 2023 saw a 200% increase in vehicle crime, rising from 1 to 3 incidents. This spike may be linked to heightened traffic during the return to school and university term, though no definitive causal link can be established. Conversely, anti-social behaviour dropped by 86.7%, from 15 to 2 incidents, potentially reflecting the dispersal of summer crowds or increased community engagement in the area. Drug-related crimes surged by 100%, from 0 to 5 incidents, a figure that is 250% above the UK average of 0.2 per 1,000. This anomaly may be attributed to local factors, such as proximity to transport hubs or changing patterns of illicit activity during the academic year. Meanwhile, shoplifting fell by 80%, from 5 to 1 incident, which could indicate the impact of targeted policing or seasonal shopping habits. The overall mix of crimes shows a balance between violent and property offences, with property crimes (10 incidents) slightly outnumbering violent crimes (6 incidents), a shift from earlier months that may warrant further local analysis.

The crime rate in Great Notley for September 2023 (3.1 per 1,000) represents a 41.0% decrease from the previous month's rate of 5.3 per 1,000. This decline suggests a potential stabilisation in local crime trends, though it remains to be seen whether this is a sustained pattern or a temporary fluctuation. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 1 crime per day in September, a manageable frequency for a small built-up area. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 322 residents, a figure that contextualises the impact on the local population. When compared to the UK average, Great Notley's performance is strikingly positive, with the area being 61.3% below the national rate. This contrast highlights the effectiveness of local strategies or the unique characteristics of the area, which may include lower population density, stronger community networks, or targeted crime prevention measures. The monthly exposure metric provides a practical lens for residents: for every 322 people in Great Notley, one crime was reported in September, a rate that is significantly lower than the national average and underscores the area's relative safety.