Pencoed Crime Rate October 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Pencoed's crime profile in October 2025 reflects a combination of local dynamics and seasonal influences. The overall crime rate of 6.4 per 1,000 residents places the area 16.9% below the UK average of 7.7, a distinction that underscores the effectiveness of local policing strategies or community engagement initiatives. The most prevalent category of crime remains violence and sexual offences, accounting for 53.1% of all reported incidents—34 cases in total. This concentration of violent crime is notable, though it aligns with broader trends observed in similar built-up areas within South Wales, where socio-economic factors and population density often contribute to higher rates of interpersonal crime. Anti-social behaviour and public order offences follow, each representing nearly 19% of the total, suggesting a persistent challenge in managing community disturbances. Seasonal context adds nuance to these figures: October, with its shorter days and the arrival of Halloween, may have amplified tensions in public spaces, potentially contributing to the spike in anti-social behaviour. The area’s relatively low property crime rate—just 10 incidents compared to 34 violent crimes—contrasts with national patterns, where property-related offences often dominate. This divergence may reflect Pencoed’s specific demographic profile, including a higher proportion of working-age residents or robust local security measures. The data also highlights the importance of contextual analysis; while the overall crime rate is reassuringly low, the dominance of violent crime warrants further attention to community safety frameworks and targeted interventions.

The most striking shift in October 2025 was the 200% increase in shoplifting, rising from 2 to 6 incidents. This dramatic jump, though still below the UK average of 0.6 per 1,000, raises questions about potential changes in retail security practices or the timing of seasonal shopping events. Concurrently, anti-social behaviour and public order offences each doubled from the previous month, reaching 12 and 6 cases respectively. These increases align with the transition into darker evenings and the Halloween period, which may have intensified social interactions in public spaces. Violent crime remains high in Pencoed compared to the UK average, with 3.4 per 1,000 residents for violence and sexual offences—28% above the national rate of 2.7 per 1,000. This gap suggests that local factors, such as population density or community cohesion, may play a role in sustaining higher rates of interpersonal crime. Conversely, criminal damage and arson fell by 50%, declining from 4 to 2 incidents—a decrease that could reflect improved fire prevention efforts or seasonal variations in property-related offences. For residents, the surge in shoplifting may signal a need for increased vigilance in local businesses, particularly during late-night hours when visibility is reduced. The stark contrast between Pencoed’s violent crime trends and its relatively low property crime rates also highlights the importance of addressing root causes of interpersonal conflict through community-based initiatives.

Pencoed’s crime rate in October 2025 rose by 42.3% compared to the previous month’s rate of 4.5 per 1,000, marking a significant upward trend. This increase, however, still leaves the area well below the UK average, with 6.4 crimes per 1,000 residents compared to the national figure of 7.7. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 2 crimes per day over the 31-day period, a figure that translates to one reported crime for roughly every 156 residents over the course of the month. This monthly exposure rate provides a tangible sense of the likelihood of encountering crime, though it does not account for variations in individual risk factors such as location or lifestyle. The population context further illustrates the scale: with 10,015 residents, even a relatively small number of incidents can have a noticeable impact on community perception of safety. The previous month’s lower rate may have been influenced by temporary factors such as weather conditions or specific events that are no longer present in October. The comparison to the UK average also reveals that while Pencoed’s overall crime rate remains favorable, the concentration of violent crime in particular is a point of divergence. This underscores the need for targeted strategies that address the specific challenges of interpersonal crime without compromising the area’s broader success in maintaining low levels of property-related offences.