Pencoed Crime Rate September 2025 | Monthly Statistics

The crime profile in Pencoed during September 2025 reveals a distinct imbalance in crime types, with violence and sexual offences dominating at 57.8% of all reported incidents. This contrasts sharply with the UK average, where such crimes make up just 35% of the total. The overall crime rate of 4.5 per 1,000 residents places Pencoed 39.2% below the UK average of 7.4 per 1,000, a disparity that reflects both local characteristics and seasonal factors. The dominance of violent crime over property crime—26 violent incidents versus 8 property crimes—suggests a pattern influenced by social dynamics rather than economic or environmental factors. September, a transitional month marked by the return to school and university freshers, may have contributed to this shift, as increased social activity in public spaces often correlates with higher rates of violence and anti-social behaviour. While property crimes such as shoplifting and other theft remain significantly below the UK average (67% and 60% lower respectively), the high proportion of violent crime raises questions about local policing strategies and community engagement. The relatively low rates of public order offences (4.4% of total crimes) and criminal damage (8.9%) further indicate a controlled environment, though the 100% increase in possession of weapons—a category that is 43% above the UK average—introduces a concerning outlier. This mix of crime types underscores the need for targeted interventions in areas where violent crime is concentrated, while the overall lower rate compared to the UK suggests effective community measures or demographic factors that reduce broader criminal activity.

September 2025 saw a 73.3% increase in violence and sexual offences, rising from 15 to 26 incidents. This surge, coupled with a 100% jump in possession of weapons (from 0 to 1), highlights a troubling trend in violent crime. Meanwhile, public order offences fell by 50% (from 6 to 3), and other theft decreased by 33.3% (from 3 to 2), suggesting some areas of improvement. Anti-social behaviour remained below the UK average, with rates 49% lower than the national figure. The dominance of violent crime over property crime—despite the latter being 67% below the UK average—points to a unique local dynamic. For residents, the sharp rise in weapons possession is a concrete concern, as this category is now 43% above the UK average. The data also reveals that criminal damage and arson, though lower than the UK rate, increased by 33.3% from August, indicating a possible seasonal or situational trigger. These shifts underscore the importance of monitoring violent crime trends closely, particularly during periods of social transition like the start of the academic year.

The crime rate in Pencoed rose by 21.7% from August 2025 (3.7 per 1,000) to September 2025 (4.5 per 1,000), marking a noticeable uptick in reported incidents. On a daily basis, this translates to roughly 2 crimes per day in the built-up area, a figure that, while locally relevant, does not directly compare to UK-wide daily averages due to the absence of such data. Over the course of September, one reported crime occurred for every 223 residents—a monthly exposure rate that, when contextualised against the population of 10,015, suggests a relatively low frequency of criminal activity. However, this aggregate statistic masks significant variations in specific crime types. For instance, the rate of violence and sexual offences (2.6 per 1,000) is in line with the UK average, yet the spike in possession of weapons—now 43% above the national rate—introduces a unique local risk. The population-scaled perspective also reveals that anti-social behaviour, at 0.6 per 1,000, is 49% below the UK average, indicating a community that may be more effectively managed in terms of nuisance crimes. These comparisons highlight both the strengths and vulnerabilities of Pencoed's crime profile, with the overall lower rate compared to the UK offering a buffer against broader systemic issues.