Abercarn Crime Rate November 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Violence and sexual offences dominated Abercarn’s crime profile in November 2023, accounting for 37.8% of all reported crimes — a stark reminder of the area’s ongoing challenges with personal safety. At 6.8 per 1,000 residents, the local crime rate was 9.3% below the UK average, a margin that suggests Abercarn may be slightly safer than the national benchmark, though this remains context-dependent. The breakdown reveals a combination of factors: while anti-social behaviour and public order offences were prominent, their rates were only modestly above UK averages, whereas shoplifting and other theft were significantly below. Seasonal dynamics likely played a role, with dark evenings and the approach of Christmas potentially influencing crime patterns. For instance, the drop in violence and sexual offences could be partly explained by reduced outdoor activity during colder months, though this is not definitively supported by the data. Meanwhile, the sharp rise in other theft may align with the Black Friday shopping period, a time when retail spaces are often targeted. These trends highlight the need for continued monitoring, particularly as Abercarn navigates the transition from autumn to winter. The area’s relatively low crime rate compared to the UK average, coupled with its specific challenges in managing public order, suggests a unique local context that warrants further exploration.

November 2023 saw significant fluctuations in Abercarn’s crime profile. Other theft surged by 300%, rising from one to four incidents, while shoplifting doubled from zero to one. These increases may reflect heightened activity during Black Friday shopping. Conversely, violence and sexual offences dropped by 48.1%, from 27 to 14, a decline that could align with shorter evenings and reduced foot traffic in public spaces. Public order offences remained elevated, at 70% above the UK average, highlighting ongoing challenges in managing disruptive behaviour. Vehicle crime also fell by 40%, linked to seasonal changes in parking patterns. For residents, the 300% rise in other theft underscores the need for vigilance in securing personal property during high-traffic periods.

Abercarn’s crime rate in November 2023 stood at 6.8 per 1,000 residents, a 39.3% decrease from the previous month’s rate of 11.2. This sharp decline reflects a significant shift in local crime patterns, though the underlying reasons remain to be explored. On a daily basis, the area experienced roughly one reported crime per day over the 30-day period — a figure that, while low, underscores the persistent presence of criminal activity in a relatively small community. When scaled to the population, the monthly exposure rate reveals that over the course of November, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 147 residents. This metric provides context for local residents, illustrating that while the overall rate is below the UK average, the impact of crime remains tangible for some. The drop in crime compared to October may be influenced by seasonal factors, such as the conclusion of the Halloween period and the quieter pre-Christmas environment, though these remain speculative without further data.