Abercarn Crime Rate July 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Abercarn's crime rate in July 2025 stood at 5.9 per 1,000 residents, 31.4% below the UK average of 8.6 per 1,000. This figure reflects a generally low-crime environment, though specific patterns emerge when breaking down the data. Anti-social behaviour accounted for 31.3% of all crimes (10 incidents), making it the most common category. This aligns with the area's seasonal context, as July is a peak time for festivals, outdoor events, and tourism, all of which can contribute to increased anti-social behaviour. Criminal damage and arson followed closely, representing 28.1% of crimes (9 incidents) and standing at 179% above the UK average. This discrepancy may be partly explained by the area's built-up character, where vandalism and arson could be more concentrated in smaller urban spaces. Violence and sexual offences, though lower than the UK average (57% below), still accounted for 21.9% of crimes (7 incidents), suggesting that while the overall rate is low, targeted interventions may still be necessary. The seasonal context of July—schools out, festivals in full swing—likely influences these trends, with increased public activity both reducing opportunities for violent crime and creating environments where anti-social behaviour is more visible. The relatively low crime rate compared to national averages could also reflect Abercarn's status as a smaller, more tightly knit community, where local policing and community engagement may contribute to a safer environment.

July 2025 saw a marked reduction in violence and sexual offences, with a 65% decrease from June's figures (20 to 7 incidents). This drop aligns with the seasonal context of summer, when community activities and festivals may reduce opportunities for conflict. Conversely, criminal damage and arson increased by 28.6%, rising from 7 to 9 incidents. This category's rate in Abercarn (1.7 per 1,000) is 179% above the UK average (0.6 per 1,000), highlighting a localised issue that warrants further attention. Other crime also rose sharply, doubling from 0 to 1 incident—a 100% increase. This category's rate (0.2 per 1,000) is 18% above the UK average (0.2 per 1,000), suggesting a small but notable trend. Meanwhile, other theft fell by 66.7% (3 to 1 incident), with its rate (0.2 per 1,000) now 64% below the UK average (0.6 per 1,000). For residents, the 65% drop in violent crime offers a tangible benefit, though the rise in property-related incidents underscores the need for targeted community initiatives.

Abercarn's crime rate in July 2025 fell to 5.9 per 1,000 residents, a 34.7% decline from June's 9.0 per 1,000. This marks a notable shift in the area's safety profile, with the monthly exposure rate indicating one crime occurred for every 170 residents over the course of the month. Daily crime context shows an average of one reported incident per day in July, a figure that reflects the area's relatively low crime density compared to national averages. The population-scaled perspective reveals that Abercarn's crime rate remains significantly lower than the UK average, which stands at 8.6 per 1,000. This contrast is amplified by the fact that the area's population of 5,442 is smaller than many comparable urban centres, meaning fewer residents are exposed to crime on a daily basis. The drop in violent crime, particularly the 65% reduction in violence and sexual offences, may partly explain the overall decline, though seasonal factors such as the end of school terms and increased community engagement during summer events could also play a role in reducing tensions that might otherwise lead to conflict.