Abercarn Crime Rate May 2025 | Monthly Statistics

For a population of 5,442 residents, Abercarn recorded 53 crimes in May 2025 — a rate of 9.7 per 1,000 people, placing it 19.8% above the UK average of 8.1 per 1,000. This built-up area within Caerphilly reflects a mix of urban and semi-rural characteristics, with crime patterns influenced by local social dynamics and seasonal rhythms. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 41.5% of all crimes (22 incidents), significantly outpacing the UK average for this category by 41%. Anti-social behaviour (12 incidents) and other theft (5 incidents) followed, both exceeding UK rates by 55% and 70% respectively. May’s longer evenings and bank holidays likely contributed to increased outdoor socialising, which may partly explain the prominence of violent and disorderly crimes. The area’s relatively high rate of burglary (4 incidents) — 150% above the UK average — suggests vulnerabilities in property security, though this crime type saw a 100% month-on-month increase from zero to four incidents. These figures highlight the need for targeted interventions in high-risk areas and times, particularly as summer approaches and outdoor activity rises.

May 2025 saw sharp increases in specific crime categories, with other theft surging by 400% (from 1 to 5 incidents) and burglary doubling from zero to four. Possession of weapons also rose by 100%, with one incident reported — a stark contrast to April’s zero cases. These jumps may reflect heightened tensions during May’s bank holidays or increased alcohol-related incidents in public spaces. Meanwhile, criminal damage and arson fell by 33.3% (from 6 to 4 incidents), and public order offences decreased by 25% (from 4 to 3), possibly due to improved policing in high-traffic areas or seasonal shifts in community activity. Violence and sexual offences. from 24 to 22 incidents, remained 41% above the UK average, underscoring persistent challenges in reducing violent crime. Shoplifting — at 1 incident — was 70% below the UK average of 0.7 per 1,000, suggesting that retail security measures may be effective in this area. These fluctuations highlight the importance of ongoing monitoring and adaptive strategies to address emerging trends.

Abercarn’s crime rate rose by 3.9% from 9.4 per 1,000 in April to 9.7 per 1,000 in May 2025, reflecting a slight upward trend. On a daily basis, the area experienced roughly 2 crimes per day over the 31-day period — a figure that, while seemingly low, translates to a monthly exposure rate of 1 crime for every 103 residents. For context, this means that a resident of Abercarn had a 1-in-103 chance of being directly affected by crime in May. When scaled to the area’s population of 5,442, this rate indicates that crime remains a tangible concern for local households, particularly given the significant overperformance in violent and property-related offences compared to UK averages. The 19.8% gap between Abercarn’s rate and the UK average suggests that local factors — such as community cohesion, policing resources, or socioeconomic conditions — may play a role in shaping crime trends. While the overall rate is modest, the disproportionate prevalence of violent and disorderly crimes highlights the need for targeted interventions to address specific vulnerabilities in this built-up area.