Bargod Crime Rate December 2024 | Monthly Statistics

The crime profile in Bargod during December 2024 reveals a distinct emphasis on violent and disorderly incidents compared to other crime types. With a crime rate of 8.8 per 1,000 residents — 23.9% above the UK average — the area’s security landscape is shaped by a pronounced imbalance in crime categories. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 45.1% of all reported crimes, far exceeding the share of property-related incidents, which combined for just 23.9% (17 property crimes out of 71 total). This dominance of violent crime contrasts with national trends, where violence typically constitutes around 2.6 per 1,000 (56% below Bargod’s rate). The seasonal context of December — marked by extended evening darkness, festive gatherings, and the closure of some retail spaces — likely contributes to this pattern. Anti-social behaviour and public order offences, which made up 22.6% of incidents, further reinforce the theme of disorderly activity. The UK average for public order offences is 0.5 per 1,000, while Bargod recorded 0.8 per 1,000, a 78% deviation. This suggests that the built-up nature of Bargod, combined with its proximity to Caerphilly’s urban core, may create conditions where alcohol-fuelled disputes and late-night disturbances are more prevalent. Meanwhile, property crimes such as shoplifting (8.5% of total) and criminal damage (7.0%) remained below the UK average for their categories. The absence of a major spike in burglary (0.1 per 1,000) compared to the UK rate of 0.3 per 1,000 indicates that residential areas may be relatively secure, due to community policing efforts or the presence of surveillance systems. However, the elevated rates of violence and anti-social behaviour suggest that targeted interventions may be necessary to address the root causes of these incidents, particularly during the festive period when social interactions intensify and visibility decreases.

December 2024 saw significant shifts in Bargod’s crime mix, with drug-related offences tripling from 1 to 3 incidents — a 200% increase — and possession of weapons doubling from 1 to 2 cases. These surges, though small in absolute terms, highlight emerging concerns that may warrant closer attention. Conversely, other theft and criminal damage and arson both decreased sharply, with the latter dropping by 44.4% (from 9 to 5 cases). This decline in property crimes may be linked to seasonal factors, such as reduced foot traffic in retail areas during the Christmas period. The balance of crime types also shifted markedly: violent crimes accounted for 45.1% of all incidents, compared to 23.9% for property crimes, a reversal of the previous month’s proportions. This violent crime dominance is starkly evident when compared to the UK average, where violence and sexual offences are 56% below Bargod’s rate (2.6 vs 4.0 per 1,000). The area’s anti-social behaviour rate (1.2 per 1,000) is also 28% above the UK average (0.9 per 1,000), indicating a localised challenge in managing public order. For residents, the most immediate concern may be the 400% increase in possession of weapons cases, which rose from 1 to 2 — a figure that, while small, underscores potential risks in specific pockets of the community. These statistics suggest that while property crime may be relatively contained, the focus for local authorities should remain on addressing the drivers of violent and disorderly incidents, particularly during the festive season.

Bargod’s December 2024 crime rate of 8.8 per 1,000 represents a 26% decrease from the previous month’s rate of 12.0 per 1,000, marking a notable downward trend. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 2 crimes per day — a figure that, while modest, still translates to a localised monthly exposure of 1 crime for every 113 residents. This monthly aggregate highlights the persistent presence of crime in Bargod, even as overall rates have declined. When compared to the UK average, Bargod’s 8.8 per 1,000 rate places it in a higher-risk bracket, though the drop from November suggests that interventions or natural seasonal factors may have had an impact. The population context further underscores the significance of these numbers: with 8,034 residents, even a small increase in crime can have a measurable effect on community safety. For instance, the 400% surge in possession of weapons cases — from 1 to 2 incidents — may seem minor in absolute terms, but for a community of 8,000, it represents a tangible shift in local risk profiles. The 26% monthly decline also raises questions about what may have changed between November and December, such as the timing of police operations, the impact of Christmas-related closures, or the influence of community initiatives. While the overall rate remains elevated, the downward trajectory offers a glimmer of hope that targeted efforts could be effective in addressing Bargod’s unique challenges.