Bargod Crime Rate January 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Bargod’s crime rate in January 2025 stood at 11.6 per 1,000 residents, placing the area 63.4% above the UK average of 7.1 per 1,000. This figure, while concerning, must be understood within the context of a built-up area within Caerphilly, where higher population density and urban characteristics often correlate with elevated crime rates. The most prevalent crimes were violence and sexual offences (33 cases, 35.5% of total), followed by public order offences (13 cases) and anti-social behaviour (12 cases). These categories, particularly violence and public order, far exceed UK averages, with the former being 63% above and the latter 248% above. Seasonal factors likely played a role: January, a post-holiday month with reduced retail activity and shorter days, may have contributed to the lower frequency of outdoor crimes typically associated with warmer months. However, the sharp rise in Other theft and public order offences suggests a different dynamic at play, possibly linked to local events or shifts in criminal behaviour. The area’s crime profile reflects a combination of urban challenges and seasonal trends, with no single factor accounting for the full picture. While the overall rate remains high, the breakdown shows a clear emphasis on violent and disorderly crimes, which may warrant targeted local interventions.

The most dramatic month-on-month shift in January 2025 was the 233.3% increase in Other theft, rising from three to ten incidents. This surge, while unexplained by the data, may be linked to post-holiday disruptions or seasonal shifts in criminal activity. Public order offences also rose sharply, up 116.7% to 13 cases, a figure that is 248% above the UK average. This category’s sharp increase could reflect heightened tensions in public spaces during colder months or changes in policing priorities. Conversely, Shoplifting fell by 33.3% to four incidents, aligning with the seasonal context of reduced retail footfall and shorter daylight hours. Possession of weapons declined by 50.0%, from two to one case, though this remains 67% above the UK average. These shifts highlight a volatile mix of trends, with property crimes (28) and violent crimes (33) dominating the overall profile. 35.5% of all recorded crimes involved violence and sexual offences, a category that is 63% above the UK average, suggesting a persistent challenge in this area.

Bargod's crime rate in January 2025 rose by 31.0% compared to December 2024, marking a shift from 8.8 to 11.6 per 1,000 residents. This increase, while significant, must be contextualised within the area’s built-up character and local dynamics. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 86 residents, a figure that reflects both the population density and the nature of incidents recorded. Daily crime counts averaged three per day, a rate that, while not extreme, underscores the persistent need for community vigilance. When compared to the UK average of 7.1 per 1,000, Bargod’s rate remains elevated, though the comparison highlights broader regional disparities rather than a singular cause. The population context—8,034 residents—adds nuance to these figures, ensuring that the statistics are scaled to the area’s size and not overgeneralised. This month’s data, while concerning, invites further examination of local patterns rather than immediate alarm.