Caerphilly Crime Rate October 2023 | Monthly Statistics

The crime profile in Caerphilly during October 2023 reveals a significant imbalance between violent and property crimes, with 38.2% of all incidents categorised as violence and sexual offences. This proportion is markedly higher than the UK average for this category, which stands at 33% of total crimes. Anti-social behaviour (19.3%) and public order offences (11.9%) also dominate the landscape, suggesting a pattern of community-level disruptions that may be linked to the area’s urban character and population density. Seasonal factors appear to play a role: the transition to darker evenings in October, coupled with Halloween-related activities, likely contributed to the elevated levels of public order incidents and anti-social behaviour. While property crimes such as burglary and vehicle crime remain relatively low compared to the UK average, the dominance of violent and disorderly offences indicates a need for targeted interventions in high-risk areas. The 9.5 crimes per 1,000 residents rate places Caerphilly 18.8% above the UK average of 8.0, a gap that may reflect local socio-economic conditions or the impact of specific community dynamics. This month’s data underscores the importance of addressing root causes of violence and disorder, particularly in areas with high foot traffic or concentrated populations.

October 2023 saw a dramatic 1093.8% increase in criminal damage and arson, rising from 16 to 191 incidents. This spike may be tied to seasonal factors such as Halloween celebrations, which often involve vandalism or property-related mischief. Burglary rates also surged by 300%, jumping from 14 to 56 cases, a shift that could indicate increased vulnerability during the month, linked to seasonal absences or changes in household routines. Conversely, possession of weapons fell by 40% (from 15 to 9 incidents), and robbery decreased by 28.6% (from 7 to 5 cases), though these declines may be coincidental rather than indicative of long-term trends. Caerphilly’s violent crime rate (3.6 per 1,000) is 33% above the UK average, while anti-social behaviour (1.8 per 1,000) is 41% higher than the national benchmark. Property crimes like shoplifting (0.2 per 1,000) and burglary (0.3 per 1,000) are both below UK averages, suggesting that local deterrents or community initiatives may be effective in reducing certain categories. These contrasting trends highlight the need for nuanced approaches to crime prevention, balancing efforts to address violent and disorderly offences while maintaining existing strategies that curb property-related incidents.

Caerphilly’s crime rate in October 2023 (9.5 per 1,000) represents a 15.2% increase from the previous month’s rate of 8.2, a rise that may reflect seasonal patterns or temporary spikes in specific crime types. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately 54 crimes per day, a figure that, while local to Caerphilly, illustrates the frequency of incidents within a 31-day period. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 106 residents, a monthly exposure rate that, when considered alongside the area’s population of 176,865, provides context for how crime impacts individual communities. This rate is higher than the UK average, which may be attributed to local factors such as population density or socio-economic conditions. The comparison to the previous month also reveals that while violent and disorderly offences have risen, property crimes have remained relatively stable or even decreased in some categories. Residents should be aware that the 1-in-106 monthly exposure rate does not equate to a daily risk but rather reflects the aggregate impact of crime over an entire month. These figures underscore the importance of ongoing community engagement and policing strategies to address the specific challenges identified in October’s data.