Caerphilly Crime Rate October 2024 | Monthly Statistics

The crime profile of Caerphilly in October 2024 reveals a distinct mix of violent and non-violent offences, with violence and sexual offences dominating at 38.5% of all reported crimes. This is followed by anti-social behaviour (18.5%) and public order issues (11.6%), both of which are significantly above the UK averages for their respective categories. The overall crime rate of 8.6 per 1,000 residents places Caerphilly 6.2% above the national average, a figure that may be influenced by the area's social and economic characteristics. Seasonal factors appear to play a role in shaping the crime profile, with the transition to darker evenings and the Halloween period likely contributing to increased incidents of anti-social behaviour and public order offences. The dominance of violent crime in the area contrasts with lower rates of property-related crimes such as shoplifting and vehicle crime, which are both below UK averages. This suggests a combination of local demographics, community dynamics, and environmental factors. The high proportion of violent offences could be linked to Caerphilly's status as a mixed urban-rural district, where social services and community engagement initiatives may face unique challenges. The data also highlights a notable gap in property crime, with shoplifting at 0.3 per 1,000 residents—58% below the UK average—which may reflect effective retail security measures or a lower density of high-traffic commercial areas. These patterns indicate that while violent crime remains a pressing concern, the area's approach to property crime prevention appears to be somewhat successful, though further analysis is needed to confirm the underlying causes.

October 2024 saw a stark rise in bicycle theft, with a 100% increase from 1 to 2 incidents, a figure that may reflect the impact of darker evenings and increased cycling during the month. Anti-social behaviour also rose sharply by 32.7%, reaching 280 incidents, which is 24% above the UK average. This suggests a potential correlation between seasonal changes and community dynamics. In contrast, theft from the person fell by 50%, from 2 to 1, possibly linked to Halloween-related activities or heightened police presence. The area's violent crime rate of 3.3 per 1,000 residents is 24% above the UK average, highlighting a significant disparity in this category. Meanwhile, shoplifting decreased by 27.3%, from 77 to 56 incidents, an anomaly that could be attributed to increased retail security measures or seasonal consumer behavior shifts.

Caerphilly's crime rate in October 2024 remained stable compared to September, declining by 1.3% to 8.6 per 1,000 residents from 8.7. This suggests a relatively consistent crime environment over the past two months. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately 49 crimes per day, a figure that contextualises the pace of incidents within the local community. When considering the population of 176,865, the monthly exposure translates to one reported crime occurring for roughly every 117 residents over the course of October. This metric provides a tangible sense of how frequently crime affects individuals in the area. While the overall rate is slightly above the UK average, the month-on-month stability indicates that no significant shift in crime patterns has occurred recently, maintaining a level of predictability for residents and local authorities.