Caerphilly Crime Rate July 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Public order offences in Caerphilly surged unexpectedly in July 2025, rising 21.6% month-on-month and 87% above the UK average. This marked departure from typical seasonal patterns contrasts sharply with the 15.9% decline in shoplifting, which fell to 37 cases from 44 in June. The overall crime rate of 9.7 per 1,000 residents placed the area 12.8% above the UK average of 8.6, driven by a 39.1% share of violent crimes—3.8 per 1,000, 25% above the national average. Violence and sexual offences dominated the crime picture, with 668 incidents recorded, while anti-social behaviour (321 cases) and criminal damage and arson (196 cases) also saw significant spikes. July’s peak summer season, with schools out and festivals in full swing, likely contributed to increased public gatherings and associated disorder. The area’s mix of urban and rural landscapes may explain the divergence from typical patterns, as densely populated zones saw higher public order issues while lower-density areas experienced fewer property crimes. This month’s data highlights a combination of seasonal activity and local policing priorities, with violent crime rates remaining elevated despite the summer months.

July saw a 29.8% increase in criminal damage and arson, rising from 151 to 196 cases—a jump that far outpaced other categories. This surge, combined with a 21.6% rise in public order offences, suggests heightened tensions in public spaces during the summer. Conversely, shoplifting dropped 15.9% to 37 cases, possibly due to tighter retail security measures or reduced foot traffic during festivals. Violent crimes remained the most prevalent category, accounting for 39.1% of all reported incidents, with 668 cases recorded. This rate of 3.8 per 1,000 residents is 25% above the UK average, indicating a persistent challenge in addressing personal safety. The sharp 50% increase in bicycle theft—rising from 2 to 3 cases—may reflect targeted thefts at outdoor events, while the 45.5% drop in robbery (from 11 to 6 cases) could signal improved community policing strategies. Other thefts fell 27% below the UK average, with only 76 cases recorded, suggesting effective local initiatives in deterring property crime.

Caerphilly’s crime rate in July 2025 rose 12.7% compared to June’s 8.6 per 1,000 residents, marking a significant upward trend. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 55 crimes per day, a figure that underscores the intensity of incidents during the summer months. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 104 residents, a monthly exposure rate that is 12.8% higher than the UK average. This increase is particularly pronounced in violent and public order offences, which together account for over 50% of all reported crimes. The population context reveals that, with 176,865 residents, the area’s crime rate places it in the upper quartile of UK local authority districts. While property crimes such as vehicle theft and burglary remained below the UK average, the disproportionate rise in violent and disorderly incidents suggests a need for targeted interventions. Residents may find the 45.5% drop in robbery cases encouraging, but the sustained elevation in public order offences highlights ongoing challenges in maintaining community safety during peak tourist and festival seasons.