Caerphilly Crime Rate June 2025 | Monthly Statistics

In June 2025, Caerphilly recorded 1,516 crimes across its population of 176,865 residents, translating to a crime rate of 8.6 per 1,000 individuals. This figure places the area 6.2% above the UK average of 8.1 per 1,000, reflecting a persistent challenge in maintaining crime levels relative to national benchmarks. The most prevalent crime type was violence and sexual offences, accounting for 37.5% of all reported incidents (568 cases), followed by anti-social behaviour (19.5%, 296 cases) and public order offences (11.0%, 167 cases). These patterns are consistent with Caerphilly's character as a mixed urban-rural district with significant retail and community hubs that may contribute to higher rates of public disorder and interpersonal conflict. Seasonal factors also appear to influence trends, with the start of summer potentially driving increases in certain categories like robbery, while shoplifting declined by 30%—a shift that may reflect changes in consumer behaviour and retail security measures. The data also reveals stark contrasts between local and national averages: while anti-social behaviour and public order offences are higher than the UK average, vehicle crime and shoplifting are significantly lower, suggesting that local policing strategies or infrastructure may mitigate specific risks. These findings underscore the need for targeted interventions that address the unique drivers of crime in Caerphilly, balancing the demands of a growing population with the challenges of maintaining public safety in a diverse and evolving community.

June 2025 saw a sharp 175% increase in robbery incidents, rising from 4 to 11 cases. This surge, though small in absolute terms, contrasts with a 30% decline in shoplifting, which dropped from 63 to 44. The latter decrease may reflect seasonal shifts, as summer tourism begins and retail areas experience different foot traffic patterns. Meanwhile, anti-social behaviour remained 20% above the UK average, a persistent challenge linked to the area's urban density and social mix. Vehicle crime also fell 19% below the UK average, possibly influenced by improved car security measures or reduced parking congestion in key areas. The most striking anomaly was the 87% increase in 'other crime' incidents compared to the UK average, a category that may encompass unclassified or underreported activities. These shifts highlight the combination of local dynamics and national trends, with some categories showing resilience while others fluctuate sharply.

Caerphilly's crime rate in June 2025 stood at 8.6 per 1,000 residents, a 7.2% decrease from the previous month's rate of 9.2 per 1,000. This decline aligns with a broader seasonal trend, as summer begins and daylight hours increase, potentially reducing opportunities for certain types of crime. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 51 crimes per day in June, translating to roughly one reported crime for every 117 residents over the course of the month. This monthly exposure figure provides a tangible sense of how frequently crime occurs within the local population. When compared to the UK average of 8.1 per 1,000, Caerphilly's rate remains 6.2% higher, though the month-on-month reduction suggests a stabilising trend. The population context further highlights that, while the rate is elevated, the absolute number of crimes—1,516—must be weighed against the area's size and demographic composition, which may influence crime patterns differently than smaller or more densely populated regions.