Caerphilly Crime Rate July 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Caerphilly's crime rate in July 2025 climbed to 9.7 per 1,000 residents, placing the area 12.8% above the UK average of 8.6. This marks a significant departure from the previous month, though the overall rate remains below the peak recorded in late 2024. The most prevalent crime category was violence and sexual offences, accounting for 39.1% of all incidents, a figure that aligns with the area's history of high violent crime rates. Anti-social behaviour followed at 18.8%, with public order offences at 11.9%, both of which show marked disparities compared to national averages. The seasonal context of July—peak summer, school holidays, and tourism—likely contributes to these patterns, as festivals and outdoor events can heighten opportunities for disorderly conduct. However, direct links between specific events and the rise in criminal damage and arson, which increased by 29.8% compared to June. The area's profile as a mixed urban district with a mix of residential and commercial zones may explain the concentration of violent and property crimes, though the absence of detailed geographic breakdowns limits further analysis. The contrast between elevated public order offences and the UK-wide deficit in shoplifting (69% below average) suggests a unique local dynamic, potentially influenced by the area's retail infrastructure or enforcement priorities. While the overall rate is higher than the UK average, the composition of crimes reflects a combination of local demographics and seasonal factors.

July 2025 saw a sharp 29.8% increase in criminal damage and arson, with incidents rising from 151 to 196. This jump, which outpaced other categories, may partly explain the area's 12.8% rise above the UK average. Public order offences also surged by 21.6%, reaching 203 incidents, a figure 87% above the UK average. This spike aligns with July's seasonal context of festivals and outdoor events, which can amplify disorderly conduct. Meanwhile, bicycle theft rose by 50%, from 2 to 3, a modest but notable increase that contrasts with the 69% UK-wide deficit in shoplifting. Robbery, however, fell by 45.5% to 6 incidents, the lowest recorded since at least 2023. These shifts highlight a combination of seasonal activity and targeted crime prevention efforts, though the specific causes behind these trends.

Caerphilly's crime rate in July 2025 rose to 9.7 per 1,000 residents, a 12.7% increase from June's 8.6 per 1,000. This marks the first monthly rise in the area's crime rate this year, though it remains below the peak seen in December 2024. On a daily basis, the area recorded an average of 55 crimes per day during July, a figure that reflects the density of incidents in a relatively populated urban district. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 104 residents, a rate that, while higher than the UK average, is consistent with local patterns of concentrated crime in specific neighbourhoods. The population-scaled perspective shows that while the overall rate is elevated, the distribution of incidents is uneven, with certain areas experiencing higher exposure. This suggests targeted interventions may be more effective than broad-area strategies, though the exact locations of these spikes.