Caerphilly Crime Rate June 2025 | Monthly Statistics

For a population of 176,865, Caerphilly recorded 1,516 crimes in June 2025, translating to a crime rate of 8.6 per 1,000 residents. This places the area 6.2% above the UK average of 8.1 per 1,000, a figure that reflects broader patterns in local crime dynamics. The most prevalent crime category was violence and sexual offences, which accounted for 37.5% of all reported incidents (568 cases). Anti-social behaviour followed closely at 19.5% (296 cases), with public order offences (167 cases) making up the third-largest share. These figures highlight a persistent focus on interpersonal and community-level issues, consistent with the area’s mix of urban and semi-rural environments. Seasonal factors may also play a role: June marks the start of summer, a period typically associated with increased public activity, tourism in nearby coastal areas, and longer daylight hours that could influence both victim exposure and offender opportunities. While property crimes remained relatively low (386 cases, or 25.5% of the total), the breakdown shows a pronounced emphasis on violent and disruptive offences over theft or burglary. This aligns with patterns observed in similar UK local authority districts, where urban centres and densely populated areas tend to see higher rates of violent crime compared to rural regions. The data also reveals a marked disparity in local performance relative to the UK average for specific categories—violence and sexual offences are 12% above the national rate, while shoplifting and bicycle theft are significantly below the UK average. These contrasts suggest targeted factors influencing crime types in Caerphilly, linked to local policing strategies, community engagement initiatives, or demographic characteristics. The summer months, with their associated social events and increased foot traffic, may further amplify trends in anti-social behaviour and public order offences, warranting continued monitoring.

June 2025 saw significant fluctuations in specific crime categories. Robbery incidents surged by 175% (from 4 to 11 cases), a sharp increase that may reflect heightened vulnerability during summer evenings or targeted criminal activity in high-traffic areas. Possession of weapons also rose by 21.4% (from 14 to 17 cases), a figure that could indicate shifts in local criminal networks or policing focus. Conversely, shoplifting fell by 30.2% (from 63 to 44 cases), due to increased retail security measures or seasonal changes in consumer behaviour. Bicycle theft and theft from the person both declined by 33.3% (from 3 to 2 cases each), a trend that may be linked to improved vehicle security or reduced opportunities during the summer months. These changes highlight a dynamic crime profile where certain categories are growing rapidly while others contract, suggesting a combination of local conditions and external factors. The overall crime mix also shows a stark contrast with the UK average: violence and sexual offences are 12% above the national rate, while shoplifting is 52% below. This divergence underscores the need for tailored approaches to addressing local crime challenges. For residents, the drop in shoplifting is a notable positive, reducing financial losses for local businesses. However, the rise in robbery and weapon possession signals areas requiring closer attention, particularly in public spaces and during late-night hours. These shifts must be contextualised within broader patterns, as June’s seasonal context—longer days and increased tourism—could influence both criminal activity and police visibility.

The crime rate in Caerphilly for June 2025 (8.6 per 1,000) marks a 7.2% decrease from the previous month’s rate of 9.2 per 1,000, indicating a short-term decline in overall criminal activity. This drop aligns with broader seasonal patterns, as June’s longer days and warmer weather may reduce opportunities for certain types of crime, particularly those linked to darkness or isolation. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 51 crimes per day over the 30-day period, a figure that provides a tangible sense of the frequency of incidents for local residents. When scaled to the population, this equates to one reported crime for roughly every 117 residents over the course of the month—a rate that, while above the UK average, remains relatively modest compared to more densely populated urban centres. The comparison to the previous month’s data also reveals a potential shift in policing effectiveness or public behaviour, though further analysis would be needed to confirm causality. The monthly exposure figure of 1-in-117 residents is particularly useful for understanding the relative risk faced by individuals in Caerphilly, contextualising the numbers in a way that is accessible to the general public. This rate is consistent with other UK local authority districts of similar size and demographic composition, though the specific emphasis on violent and anti-social crimes sets Caerphilly apart. The decline from June 2025’s previous month may also reflect the natural ebb and flow of crime associated with summer, as increased community activity and police presence can temporarily suppress certain types of offending. However, the continued above-average rates for violence and sexual offences suggest that underlying social or economic factors require sustained attention, even as the overall crime rate fluctuates.