Carmarthen Crime Rate November 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Carmarthen's crime rate in November 2023 stood at 9.2 per 1,000 residents, 22.7% above the UK average of 7.5. This figure reflects a combination of local factors, including the area's status as a major urban centre within Carmarthenshire. Violence and sexual offences accounted for nearly half (49.7%) of all recorded crimes, a rate of 4.6 per 1,000 that is 78% above the UK average. Shoplifting, at 1.4 per 1,000, represented 14.9% of total crimes and was 155% above the UK average. These patterns align with seasonal dynamics: November's dark evenings and the timing of Black Friday shopping likely contribute to higher retail crime. Conversely, anti-social behaviour—while still a concern—was 14% below the UK average, suggesting community initiatives may be having a positive effect. The data also shows a marked imbalance in crime types, with property crimes (42 total) comprising 29.8% of all reported incidents and violent crimes (70 total) dominating the remaining 70.2%. This skew may reflect Carmarthen's mix of residential and commercial areas, where public spaces are more frequently used. The month's proximity to Bonfire Night could also have influenced spikes in certain offences. Overall, while the area's crime rate remains elevated compared to the UK, the breakdown reveals both challenges and opportunities for targeted interventions.

November 2023 saw notable month-on-month shifts in crime patterns, with some categories showing marked decreases. Public order offences fell by 56.3% compared to October, dropping from 16 to 7, a reduction that may reflect heightened policing during Bonfire Night events or seasonal changes in social behaviour. Burglary also declined by 50%, from 4 to 2 incidents, possibly linked to shorter evenings and increased foot traffic in residential areas. Theft from the person similarly dropped by 50%, from 2 to 1, suggesting that targeted awareness campaigns around high-risk times may be having an impact. However, other areas saw significant increases: vehicle crime surged by 200%, rising from 1 to 3 incidents, a jump that could be tied to the start of the festive season and increased car usage. Shoplifting climbed 75%, from 12 to 21 offences, likely driven by Black Friday shopping activity. Other theft also rose by 100%, from 3 to 6 incidents, though this remains well below the UK average for the category. The most striking disparity remains in violent crime, where Carmarthen's rate of 4.6 per 1,000 is 78% above the UK average. This highlights the need for continued focus on community safety measures. Residents might find the 1-in-108 chance of experiencing a crime during the month a useful context for understanding local risks.

Carmarthen's crime rate in November 2023 was 9.2 per 1,000 residents, a 2.7% decrease from October's 9.5. This small decline suggests that efforts to address local crime may be yielding results. above the UK average. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 5 crimes per day over the month, a figure that contextualises the scale of activity in a built-up area. When viewed through a population lens, the monthly exposure rate of 1 crime per 108 residents illustrates that, while the likelihood of being a victim is relatively low, the cumulative effect across the community is significant. This rate is consistent with Carmarthen's position as a mid-sized urban centre within Carmarthenshire, where public spaces and commercial areas create a unique crime profile. The comparison to the UK average also reveals regional disparities: while Carmarthen's violent crime rate is higher, categories like anti-social behaviour and public order offences are below the national average. This mixed picture suggests that local factors—such as the town's retail presence and proximity to natural attractions—play a role in shaping crime trends. The monthly data, while not directly comparable to national figures, provides a valuable snapshot for residents and local authorities to assess progress and allocate resources effectively.