Carmarthen Crime Rate December 2025 | Monthly Statistics

December 2025 marked a stark contrast in Carmarthen’s crime profile, with the overall crime rate reaching 13.6 per 1,000 residents—nearly double the UK average of 7.0. This figure underscores the area’s persistent challenges, particularly in violent crime, which accounted for 44.7% of all incidents. Violence and sexual offences, at 6.1 per 1,000, are 137% above the UK average, a worrying trend that may be linked to the season’s social dynamics. The month’s festive atmosphere, coupled with extended evenings and empty homes during holidays, likely contributes to the rise in violent and public order offences. Shoplifting, another significant concern, surged to 1.7 per 1,000, 198% above the UK average, highlighting vulnerabilities in retail environments. While criminal damage and arson also exceeded national rates by 150%, the data reveals a complex picture where certain categories—like burglary and vehicle crime—are below UK averages, suggesting localized factors may be at play. The seasonal context of December, with its peak in Christmas shopping and social gatherings, likely amplifies risks in public spaces, though the area’s built-up character means crime patterns are not uniform. This data, while revealing troubling trends, also highlights the need for targeted strategies to address specific crime types without overgeneralizing the area’s challenges.

December 2025 saw a dramatic 200% increase in possession of weapons, with incidents rising from 1 to 3. This sharp rise, though still low in absolute terms, signals a potential escalation in violent incidents and may reflect seasonal factors such as increased alcohol consumption during the festive period. Meanwhile, public order offences surged by 36.4%, aligning with the month’s dark evenings and heightened social activity. Other theft also climbed by 42.9%, suggesting heightened opportunism in retail and public spaces. In contrast, bicycle theft fell by 50%, possibly due to reduced outdoor activity during colder weather. Violent crimes, which account for 44.7% of all incidents, remain 137% above the UK average of 2.6 per 1,000, a stark indicator of the area’s ongoing challenges. Shoplifting, at 1.7 per 1,000, is 198% above the UK average, pointing to the need for targeted interventions in high-traffic retail areas.

Carmarthen's crime rate in December 2025 stood at 13.6 per 1,000 residents, a slight 2.4% decrease from the previous month’s 13.9 per 1,000. While this decline is modest, the daily crime context reveals 7 incidents reported each day on average, highlighting persistent pressure on local policing resources. Over the course of the month, one crime was recorded for every 74 residents, a figure that underscores the monthly exposure risk for households and businesses. This rate, though lower than November, remains 94.3% above the UK average, a stark contrast to national trends. The population-scaled perspective shows that Carmarthen’s built-up area, with 15,295 residents, experiences crime at a level far exceeding national benchmarks, suggesting structural factors—such as local demographics or economic conditions—may be driving the disparity. The slight reduction from November does not mitigate the area’s overall challenge in maintaining public safety compared to the UK, where crime rates are consistently lower across most categories.