Carmarthen Crime Rate January 2026 | Monthly Statistics

In January 2026, Carmarthen’s crime rate of 12.1 per 1,000 residents placed it 77.9% above the UK average, a stark contrast to the national figure of 6.8 per 1,000. This elevated rate translates to a tangible risk for residents, with one in every 83 individuals experiencing a reported crime over the course of the month. The most prevalent crimes were violence and sexual offences, accounting for 41.1% of all incidents, followed by shoplifting (13.0%) and anti-social behaviour (9.2%). These patterns align with the area’s characteristics as a built-up town within a rural county, where social dynamics and local infrastructure may influence crime trends. The seasonal context of January—marked by shorter days, post-holiday periods, and reduced retail activity—likely contributes to the dominance of violent crime over property-related offences. While shoplifting and anti-social behaviour are significantly above UK averages, the lower rates of burglary and vehicle crime suggest a different set of risk factors, possibly tied to the area’s quieter residential zones. The data also reveals a combination of local conditions and broader national trends, with Carmarthen’s crime profile reflecting both its urban core and surrounding rural influences.

January 2026 saw notable shifts in crime trends, with robbery incidents doubling from zero to two, and vehicle crime rising by 66.7% to five reported cases. These increases may be linked to seasonal factors, such as post-holiday economic pressures or changes in local activity patterns. Conversely, drug-related offences decreased by 30.8%, and public order crimes fell by 26.7%, potentially reflecting reduced foot traffic during colder months. The rate of violence and sexual offences remained 100% above the UK average, with 5.0 per 1,000 residents affected, a figure that highlights the area’s specific challenges. Shoplifting, at 1.6 per 1,000, was 181% above the UK average, suggesting a possible link to retail environments or targeted opportunities in the built-up area. These variations in crime type and rate offer insights into the dynamics shaping local safety, with some categories showing resilience while others demand closer attention.

Carmarthen’s crime rate in January 2026 stood at 12.1 per 1,000 residents, an 11.0% decrease from the previous month’s rate of 13.6. This slight decline suggests a potential stabilisation in local crime trends, though the rate remains significantly higher than the UK average. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately six crimes per day, a figure that contextualises the ongoing presence of crime in everyday life. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 83 residents, highlighting the frequency of incidents in a relatively small population. This monthly exposure rate, while not uncommon for urban areas, underscores the need for continued community vigilance. The comparison with the previous month also reveals shifts in crime patterns, such as the sharp increase in robbery and the decrease in drug-related offences, which may reflect seasonal or situational factors. These figures, when paired with the local population context, provide a clearer picture of how crime affects individual risk and community safety.