Carmarthen Crime Rate February 2025 | Monthly Statistics

For a population of 15,295 residents, Carmarthen recorded 206 crimes in February 2025, translating to 13.5 crimes per 1,000 people. This rate is 101.5% higher than the UK average of 6.7 per 1,000, highlighting a significant disparity in local crime trends. The most prevalent crime type was violence and sexual offences, accounting for 43.7% of all reported incidents—151% above the UK average. Public order offences followed closely at 12.1%, with shoplifting at 10.7%, both well above national benchmarks. These figures suggest a concentrated pattern of violence and disorder in the built-up area of Carmarthen, which may reflect the dynamics of a town with a mix of urban and rural characteristics. February, typically a winter month with reduced outdoor activity and a pre-spring lull, may contribute to lower visibility of certain crimes but does not fully explain the elevated rates of violent and public order offences. The high proportion of violent crimes could be linked to factors such as social interactions in public spaces or seasonal pressures on community services. Meanwhile, property crimes like shoplifting and criminal damage remain high, influenced by the retail and commercial presence in the area. The data underscores a need for targeted interventions in sectors where violence and disorder are most concentrated, while also addressing the underlying factors driving property-related offences.

February 2025 saw sharp increases in shoplifting, with incidents rising 144.4% from 9 to 22 cases. This surge may be linked to the start of the retail season or specific local events that attracted more foot traffic to high-street areas. Concurrently, theft from the person doubled from 0 to 2 incidents, a dramatic shift that could indicate a change in policing focus or a temporary spike in opportunistic crimes. Vehicle crime also rose 100.0%, from 2 to 4 cases, influenced by seasonal factors such as colder weather prompting more vehicle-related activity. In contrast, several categories saw notable declines: other crime dropped 92.3% (13 to 1), likely due to a reduction in minor infractions or improved reporting accuracy. Possession of weapons fell 75.0%, and burglary decreased 71.4%, both suggesting possible shifts in criminal activity patterns. Violence and sexual offences remained starkly above the UK average, with a rate of 5.9 per 1,000—over double the national figure. Public order offences were 264% above the UK average, a striking discrepancy that may reflect localised tensions or differences in enforcement. These trends highlight a combination of seasonal factors and persistent issues in specific crime categories, requiring tailored strategies to address both spikes and declines effectively.

Carmarthen's crime rate in February 2025 (13.5 per 1,000) marked a 6.7% increase from the previous month's rate of 12.6 per 1,000, indicating a growing trend in reported incidents. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 7 crimes per day, a figure that, while localised, offers insight into the frequency of criminal activity in a town of 15,295 residents. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 74 residents, a monthly exposure rate that places Carmarthen's population under significant scrutiny compared to national standards. When scaled to population size, the disparity becomes even more pronounced: for every 1,000 residents, Carmarthen recorded nearly double the UK average in violent crimes and over five times the rate for public order offences. This contrast with the UK's broader crime profile suggests unique local challenges, particularly in managing violence and disorder. While some categories like burglary and vehicle crime showed improvements relative to the UK average, the overall trajectory remains concerning. The comparison underscores the need for targeted measures to address the specific vulnerabilities of Carmarthen's built-up area, where the combination of urban density and seasonal fluctuations appears to amplify certain crime trends.