Carmarthen Crime Rate January 2025 | Monthly Statistics

In January 2025, Carmarthen’s crime rate of 12.6 per 1,000 residents places the area 77.5% above the UK average, a stark figure that underscores the need for community vigilance. The crime profile reveals a troubling dominance of violent crimes, which account for 44.6% of all reported incidents—nearly double the UK average of 2.5 per 1,000. This pattern may reflect the area’s character as a historic town with a mix of residential and commercial zones, where public spaces and nightlife activity could contribute to higher rates of violence and sexual offences. Public order crimes, at 9.8% of the total, are also high, 161% above the UK average, linked to the town’s role as a regional hub with fluctuating foot traffic. Seasonal factors likely play a role in these figures: January’s post-holiday lull, reduced retail activity, and shorter daylight hours may dampen outdoor crime but could also concentrate incidents in specific areas. The spike in criminal damage and arson (116% above the UK average) and possession of weapons (400% above) raises concerns about underlying social tensions or unmet policing needs. While direct causes, the combination of elevated violent crime and property-related incidents suggests a combination of local dynamics that warrant further attention from authorities and residents alike.

January 2025 saw a sharp rise in vehicle crime, doubling from one to two incidents—a 100% increase. This spike may partly explain the broader trend of rising property-related concerns, though burglary also jumped from zero to seven, a 100% increase. Meanwhile, anti-social behaviour fell by 44.4%, aligning with seasonal patterns as shorter days and post-holiday routines may reduce public gatherings. Shoplifting decreased by 25%, a drop from 12 to nine incidents, though it remains slightly below the UK average for this category. Violent crimes, however, fell by 9.5% despite remaining 123% above the UK average, suggesting targeted efforts or seasonal factors may have temporarily curbed some incidents. The stark contrast between rising vehicle crime and falling anti-social behaviour illustrates shifting crime dynamics that could inform local policing priorities.

Carmarthen's crime rate in January 2025 rose 3.8% compared to December's 12.2 per 1,000, now standing at 12.6 per 1,000 residents. This places the area significantly above the UK average, with daily crime activity averaging six incidents per day over the 31-day period. For residents, this translates to a monthly exposure rate of one reported crime for every 79 people. While the overall rate remains elevated, some categories show notable shifts: anti-social behaviour fell by 44.4%, likely reflecting seasonal changes as short winter days reduce opportunities for public interactions. Conversely, vehicle crime doubled, possibly linked to increased car usage during colder weather or changes in parking patterns. The population-scaled perspective highlights that while the rate is high, the absolute number of crimes (193) is manageable within the town’s 15,295 residents, though residents may still perceive the risk as tangible given the above-average figures.