Carmarthen Crime Rate October 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Carmarthen's crime rate in October 2025 stood at 13.5 per 1,000 residents, a figure 75.3% above the UK average of 7.7. This stark deviation from the national norm is driven by an overwhelming concentration of violent crimes, which accounted for 40.1% of all incidents. Violence and sexual offences alone reached 83 cases, with a rate of 5.4 per 1,000 residents—more than double the UK average. Anti-social behaviour (30 cases) and shoplifting (20 cases) followed as the next most common categories, both exceeding UK rates by over 50%. The seasonal context of October, with shorter daylight hours and the approach of Halloween, may have contributed to the surge in violent crime, though no direct causal link can be confirmed. The town's built-up area status within Carmarthenshire likely amplifies the impact of concentrated urban spaces on crime patterns, particularly in areas with high foot traffic or nightlife activity. Meanwhile, the rate of vehicle crime remained slightly below the UK average, suggesting that local infrastructure or policing efforts may be mitigating this category. The sharp increase in burglary cases, from one to 12, raises questions about targeted criminal activity or changes in local security measures, though further data would be needed to confirm these hypotheses.

October 2025 saw a dramatic 1,100% increase in burglary cases, rising from one to 12 incidents. This spike, coupled with a 300% rise in theft from the person, points to a significant shift in criminal activity. While property crimes accounted for 32.4% of total incidents, violent crimes dominated with 40.1%, a rate 103% above the UK average. Vehicle crime decreased by 33.3%, suggesting a potential reallocation of criminal resources toward more lucrative or accessible targets. The 18 incidents of criminal damage and arson, up 200% from September, may reflect seasonal factors such as darker evenings and Halloween-related activity. These changes highlight a combination of local conditions and broader crime trends, with violent and property crimes emerging as critical areas for further analysis.

Carmarthen's crime rate in October 2025 rose to 13.5 per 1,000 residents, marking a 30.1% increase from the previous month's rate of 10.4. This surge is particularly pronounced in violent crimes, which now account for over 40% of all reported incidents. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately seven crimes per day, a figure that underscores the frequency of incidents despite the town's relatively small population of 15,295. Over the course of October, one reported crime occurred for every 74 residents, a monthly exposure rate that highlights the scale of incidents relative to the local population. While the overall rate remains significantly higher than the UK average, the sharp rise in burglary and theft from the person suggests a shift in criminal activity patterns that may warrant closer attention from local authorities and residents alike.