Carmarthenshire Crime Rate November 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Carmarthenshire's vehicle crime rate in November 2023 was 80% below the UK average, marking one of the most significant disparities in the national comparison. This figure, at 0.1 per 1,000 residents, stands in stark contrast to the UK average of 0.5 per 1,000, suggesting a local pattern of lower vehicle-related incidents. The overall crime rate for the area was 5.8 per 1,000, 22.7% below the UK's 7.5 per 1,000. Violence and sexual offences accounted for the largest share of crimes (44.8%), aligning exactly with the UK average of 2.6 per 1,000. Anti-social behaviour followed at 13.6% of total crimes, 24% below the UK average, while criminal damage and arson contributed 10.3%, just 2% above the UK figure. Seasonal factors may have influenced these patterns, as November's shorter days and cooler weather could have reduced opportunities for certain crimes. However, the 100% increase in robbery and 63.6% rise in vehicle crime suggest that other local dynamics, such as changes in community activity or law enforcement focus, may also be at play. The area's relatively low rates of theft from the person (100% below UK average) and bicycle theft (100% below UK average) further highlight a divergence from national trends, though the reasons for these differences remain unclear. Carmarthenshire's crime profile appears to be shaped by a combination of geographic characteristics, such as its rural and semi-rural landscape, and the seasonal rhythm of November, which may have influenced both the frequency and type of incidents reported.

November 2023 saw notable fluctuations in crime types, with robbery increasing by 100% (from 0 to 2 incidents) and vehicle crime rising by 63.6% (from 11 to 18). These increases contrast with declines in theft from the person (-50.0%) and anti-social behaviour (-27.4%). The balance of crime types shifted slightly, with violent crimes (497) remaining the most common category (44.8% of total), followed by anti-social behaviour (13.6%) and criminal damage and arson (10.3%). Carmarthenshire's vehicle crime rate was 80% below the UK average, reflecting a stark divergence from national trends. Residents may find the 100% increase in robbery particularly concerning, as it highlights a rare but significant spike in this category. Meanwhile, theft from the person and possession of weapons both dropped sharply, with the latter falling by 40% from 5 to 3 incidents. These changes suggest a combination of local factors.

Carmarthenshire's crime rate in November 2023 fell to 5.8 per 1,000 residents, an 8.4% decrease from the previous month's 6.3 per 1,000. This reduction aligns with a broader seasonal trend, as shorter days and cooler temperatures may have reduced opportunities for certain crimes. On a daily basis, the area experienced an average of 37 crimes per day in November, a figure that contextualises the local crime burden in relation to daily life. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 172 residents, a monthly aggregate that provides a snapshot of the frequency of incidents within the population. Given Carmarthenshire's population of 190,800, this rate suggests a relatively low level of exposure compared to larger urban areas, though the rural and semi-rural nature of much of the district may contribute to this pattern. The drop from the prior month's rate is consistent with the end-of-year lull in activity typical of many areas, though local factors such as community initiatives or law enforcement efforts may also play a role.