Carmarthenshire Crime Rate July 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Carmarthenshire’s crime profile in July 2024 reveals a distinct balance between violent and property crimes, shaped by the area’s seasonal rhythms and community dynamics. With a crime rate of 7.4 per 1,000 residents — 11.9% below the UK average of 8.4 — the area demonstrates a consistently lower-than-average level of criminal activity. The most prominent crime type was violence and sexual offences, contributing 49.3% of all reported crimes, followed by public order offences (10.4%) and criminal damage and arson (9.4%). This concentration of violent crime contrasts with the UK average, where violent offences account for only 30% of the total. The seasonal context of July — a peak month for tourism, festivals, and outdoor events — may partly explain the prominence of public order and anti-social behaviour crimes, which often surge during periods of increased foot traffic and social interaction. The rate of anti-social behaviour in Carmarthenshire was 59% below the UK average, suggesting that local community engagement or policing strategies may be effectively mitigating such incidents. Meanwhile, shoplifting, which contributes 3.2% of all crimes in the area, was 71% below the UK average, reflecting the limited retail density in rural and semi-rural parts of the district. This mix of crime types illustrates an area where violent crime remains a pressing concern, but property-related offences are comparatively subdued, likely influenced by the region’s mix of urban and rural landscapes.

July 2024 saw significant fluctuations in specific crime categories, with robbery increasing by 600% (from 1 to 7 incidents) — a dramatic shift that may reflect heightened vulnerability during summer festivals or events. Other crime also rose by 36.4%, potentially indicating a broader uptick in unclassified incidents such as fraud or white-collar offences. Conversely, shoplifting fell by 34.3% (from 70 to 46), aligning with the area’s lower retail density compared to major urban centres. Anti-social behaviour dropped by 34.8% (from 161 to 105), a decline that could be linked to targeted community initiatives or seasonal changes in social activity. Violence and sexual offences, which account for nearly half of all crimes, remain 30% above the UK average, highlighting a persistent challenge in addressing interpersonal crime in the region. Meanwhile, vehicle crime was 57% below the UK average, due to lower car ownership rates or effective parking management in rural areas. These shifts underscore the combination of local geography, seasonal factors, and policing efforts in shaping the area’s crime profile.

Carmarthenshire’s crime rate in July 2024 remained stable compared to June, with a -0.9% decrease from 7.5 to 7.4 per 1,000 residents — a negligible change that suggests consistent patterns in criminal activity. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately 46 crimes per day, a figure that, while lower than the UK average, must be contextualised within the local population of 190,800 residents. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 134 residents — a monthly exposure rate that is lower than the UK average, which typically sees one crime for every 100 residents. This disparity highlights the area’s relatively safer environment, though Carmarthenshire’s lower population density and rural character may naturally contribute to reduced crime rates. The stability in the overall crime rate, despite fluctuations in specific categories, suggests that broader trends — such as the persistent focus on violent crime — remain unchanged. For residents, this means that while the overall risk of encountering crime is lower than in many parts of the UK, targeted awareness around violent and sexual offences remains crucial, particularly during peak summer months when public spaces see increased use.