Carmarthenshire Crime Rate June 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Carmarthenshire’s crime rate in June 2024 stood at 7.5 per 1,000 residents, placing it 8.5% below the UK average of 8.2 per 1,000. This performance reflects a blend of factors, including the area’s diverse geography and seasonal rhythms. Violence and sexual offences dominated the crime profile, accounting for 46.6% of all incidents—significantly higher than the UK average of 2.8 per 1,000. This category’s elevated rate may be influenced by the district’s mix of urban centres and rural communities, where higher population density in towns could contribute to increased interpersonal crime. Public order offences followed closely, making up 11.4% of total crimes, with rates 48% above the UK average. This spike could be linked to the start of summer, when public spaces see more activity and more disputes. Anti-social behaviour, however, remained 43% below the UK average at 0.8 per 1,000, a figure that may reflect the area’s community-focused policing strategies or the influence of local initiatives aimed at reducing low-level disturbances. The seasonal context of June—as the start of the tourist season in coastal and rural parts of the district—may also play a role in shaping these patterns. For example, the rise in shoplifting could be tied to increased foot traffic in retail areas, while the drop in robbery might indicate a shift in criminal activity towards less visible, non-violent offences. Overall, Carmarthenshire’s crime profile in June illustrates a nuanced picture, with some categories aligning closely with national trends and others diverging due to local conditions.

June 2024 saw significant fluctuations in specific crime categories. Bicycle theft surged by 50%, rising from 6 to 9 incidents, a trend that may reflect increased summer cycling activity. Shoplifting also rose sharply, with a 40% increase from 50 to 70 cases, potentially linked to the start of the tourist season in coastal areas. Conversely, robbery fell by 88.9%, dropping from 9 to 1 case—a decline that could indicate improved security measures or a shift in criminal focus. Anti-social behaviour rose by 35.3%, from 119 to 161 incidents, a figure that contrasts with the UK average and may point to heightened tensions in public spaces during warmer evenings. Carmarthenshire’s rate for violence and sexual offences—3.5 per 1,000—exceeds the UK average by 27%, while anti-social behaviour remains 43% below the national benchmark. These disparities highlight the combination of local demographics and crime patterns, with public order offences and violence emerging as key areas for further analysis.

Carmarthenshire's crime rate in June 2024 fell to 7.5 per 1,000 residents, a 2.2% decrease from the previous month's 7.7 per 1,000. This marks the second consecutive month of decline, suggesting a stabilising trend in local crime dynamics. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately 48 crimes per day in June, a figure that, while consistent with historical averages, highlights the persistent need for community vigilance. When considering the monthly exposure, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 133 residents over the course of the month—a rate that, while slightly lower than the UK average, reflects the area’s unique socio-economic profile. The population context further underscores this: with 190,800 residents, the distribution of crime across the district likely mirrors the mix of urban centres, rural settlements, and coastal communities that characterise Carmarthenshire. This blend of environments may contribute to the balance between property crimes and violent offences observed in the data.