Carmarthenshire Crime Rate July 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Carmarthenshire’s crime profile in July 2024 reveals a distinct balance between violent and property-related offences, shaped by the area’s seasonal dynamics and community characteristics. The overall crime rate of 7.4 per 1,000 residents, 11.9% below the UK average, positions the area as relatively safer than the national context. Violence and sexual offences dominate, accounting for 49.3% of all crimes, a stark contrast to the UK average of 30% for this category. This overrepresentation may be linked to the area’s mix of urban and rural settings, where festivals, tourist events, and summer social gatherings in towns like Llanelli and Carmarthen could contribute to higher incidents of violence. Public order offences (10.4% of total crimes) also exceed the UK average by 25%, likely reflecting the impact of summer nightlife and crowded public spaces. Meanwhile, anti-social behaviour is significantly lower than the UK average (59% below), due to the seasonal dispersal of transient populations or effective community engagement. The crime mix illustrates a region where violent crime is concentrated, while property crimes like shoplifting and vehicle theft remain below national levels, due to lower retail density or rural isolation. July’s peak tourism season and outdoor events likely amplify public order issues, while the absence of major urban hubs may limit certain property-related crimes. This balance suggests a need for targeted policing in high-risk areas during summer months, alongside continued efforts to maintain the area’s relatively low overall crime rate.

July 2024 saw a stark increase in robbery, rising from 1 to 7 incidents—a 600% surge—highlighting an unusual spike in this category. This jump, though small in absolute terms, may reflect isolated incidents or heightened vulnerability during summer events. Other crime and other theft also rose, with the latter increasing by 20.8% (72 to 87), potentially linked to seasonal activities or transient populations. Conversely, shoplifting fell by 34.3% (70 to 46), due to increased police presence in retail areas or shifts in criminal focus. Carmarthenshire’s violent crime rate (3.7 per 1,000) is 30% above the UK average, suggesting a concentration of violence and sexual offences in specific areas, such as town centres or event venues. Anti-social behaviour dropped by 34.8% (161 to 105), which may correlate with the summer holidays reducing crowds in public spaces. These shifts illustrate a dynamic crime mix influenced by both local and national trends.

Carmarthenshire's crime rate in July 2024 remained stable at 7.4 per 1,000 residents, a 0.9% decrease from the previous month’s 7.5 per 1,000. This slight decline suggests consistency in local policing efforts or seasonal factors mitigating crime. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately 46 crimes per day, a figure that, while not alarmingly high, underscores the need for vigilance in community areas. Monthly exposure reveals that over the course of July, one crime was reported for roughly every 134 residents, a ratio that contextualises the scale of incidents relative to the population of 190,800. When compared to the UK average, Carmarthenshire’s overall rate remains 11.9% below, indicating a relatively safer environment despite fluctuations in specific crime categories. This population-scaled perspective highlights that while individual incidents may vary, the broader trend reflects a manageable level of criminal activity for the area.