Carmarthenshire Crime Rate June 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Carmarthenshire’s June 2024 crime rate of 7.5 per 1,000 residents places it 8.5% below the UK average of 8.2, a distinction that highlights the area’s relative safety compared to the national picture. This figure reflects a mix of crime types, with violence and sexual offences accounting for 46.6% of all reported incidents—significantly higher than the UK average of 2.8 per 1,000 (27% above). Public order offences also contribute 11.4% of total crimes, again exceeding the UK average by 48%, suggesting a particular emphasis on managing disruptive behaviour in public spaces. Anti-social behaviour, while lower than the UK rate (43% below), remains a notable concern, comprising 11.2% of all crimes. These patterns align with Carmarthenshire’s character as a largely rural and coastal area, where seasonal transitions and tourism activity may influence crime dynamics. The start of summer, with longer daylight hours and the beginning of the tourist season in coastal regions, likely contributes to increased public order incidents and violence, as outdoor spaces become more populated. However, the overall rate remains lower than the UK average, indicating effective local policing or community engagement strategies that mitigate broader national trends. Property crimes, such as burglary and vehicle theft, are comparatively low, with burglary at 0.3 per 1,000 (in line with the UK average) and vehicle crime 56% below the national rate. This suggests that while violent and public order crimes dominate, property-related offences are less prevalent, possibly due to lower population density and more dispersed residential areas. The data underscores a combination of local demographics and seasonal factors, where targeted interventions may help sustain the current below-average crime rate despite higher-than-national violent crime figures.

June 2024 saw notable shifts in Carmarthenshire’s crime profile, with bicycle theft increasing by 50% (from 6 to 9 incidents) and shoplifting rising by 40% (from 50 to 70). These increases may reflect heightened summer activity, including more cyclists and tourists in public spaces, or potential vulnerabilities in retail security during peak season. Anti-social behaviour also rose by 35.3%, from 119 to 161 incidents, possibly linked to increased social interactions during warmer weather. Conversely, robbery incidents fell sharply by 88.9% (from 9 to 1), a decline that could indicate improved community safety measures or a temporary reduction in high-risk activities. Possession of weapons decreased by 37.5% (from 16 to 10), suggesting possible success in targeting illicit weapons through local enforcement efforts. Public order offences dropped by 12.4% (from 186 to 163), a decline that may be attributed to increased policing during summer months or community initiatives addressing disruptive behaviour. While violence and sexual offences remain 27% above the UK average, the overall crime rate remains 8.5% below the national figure, illustrating a nuanced picture where certain categories outperform national benchmarks while others require closer attention. These fluctuations highlight the need for adaptive strategies that address both rising and falling crime trends in real time.

Carmarthenshire’s June 2024 crime rate of 7.5 per 1,000 residents marks a 2.2% decrease from the previous month’s rate of 7.7, indicating a slight but measurable improvement in local safety. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately 48 crimes per day, a figure that, while specific to Carmarthenshire, offers residents a tangible sense of the crime frequency they might encounter. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 133 residents, a monthly exposure rate that, when contextualised against the local population of 190,800, suggests a relatively low individual risk compared to larger urban centres. This metric is particularly meaningful for residents, as it translates abstract statistics into a personal probability that may influence perceptions of safety. The area’s population size also plays a role in crime dynamics; with a lower population density than major cities, incidents are more spread out, reducing the likelihood of concentrated hotspots. However, the higher-than-average rates for violence and sexual offences (27% above UK) and public order (48% above UK) indicate that certain challenges persist, even as the overall rate remains below the national average. These comparisons underscore the importance of targeted interventions in high-risk categories while maintaining the gains seen in the month-on-month decline.